Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

Mainz 05 W vs Stuttgart W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • 🌧 6.7°C, 4 km/h, 0.2mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available43% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available79.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available81.2% · No 18.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available83.4% · Under 16.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available6.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Mainz 05 W · Home

Mainz 05 W have scored in three of their last five, including 6-1 at Ingolstadt W and 2-3 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt W, though they failed to score in the other two. Their recent record is one win and four defeats, with 9 goals for and 17 against.

Stuttgart W · Away

Stuttgart W have failed to score in three of their last five and managed only 4 goals in that run, with a 3-0 home win over SGS Essen W the exception. They did draw 1-1 at Werder Bremen W and have one clean sheet in five.

Mainz edge high-scoring H2H

The latest head-to-head, on 21 Mar 2026, finished 2-4 to Mainz 05 W away from home, and the previous meeting was 4-5. Both sides have leaked goals recently, with Mainz 05 W conceding 17 in five and Stuttgart W 13 in five, which supports the over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score picks. Mainz 05 W's 6-1 win at Ingolstadt W shows they can convert chances, while Stuttgart W failed to score in three of their last five. The evidence supports Mainz 05 W win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Mainz 05 W 2.39 – 2.20 Stuttgart W · expected total 4.59

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Mainz 05 W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)3.40
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.65
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.43
Elo strength rating1328

Stuttgart W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1329
Mainz 05 WStuttgart W
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
3.40
2.50
Best league winning streak this season
0
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.65
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.43
—
Elo strength rating
1328
1329

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Mainz 05 W

Lost 4 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Stuttgart W

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

Mainz 05 W

Worst attack (0.50 goals/game, season) Worst defence (3.40 conceded/game, season)

Stuttgart W

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Mainz 05 W at home · Stuttgart W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Mainz 05 W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–4L
L 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)3.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Stuttgart W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Mainz 05 W (home)Stuttgart W (away)
L 4
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
3.50
2.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
6.5%
3–2
5.7%
3–1
5.18%
4–2
3.41%
4–1
3.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Mainz 05 W 3 wins · 0 draws · Stuttgart W 1 win · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4

3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Mar 2026 Stuttgart W 2–4 Mainz 05 W 2. Frauen Bundesliga
12 Oct 2025 Mainz 05 W 4–5 Stuttgart W 2. Frauen Bundesliga
17 Aug 2025 Stuttgart W 0–2 Mainz 05 W DFB Pokal - Women
18 Aug 2024 Stuttgart W 1–2 Mainz 05 W DFB Pokal - Women

📈 Recent Form

Mainz 05 W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Werder Bremen W Home 0–2 L
25/10 1899 Hoffenheim W Away 1–3 L
18/10 VfL Wolfsburg W Home 0–5 L
03/10 RB Leipzig W Away 0–5 L
26/09 Ingolstadt W Away 6–1 W
18/09 Eintracht Frankfurt W Home 2–3 L
13/09 SC Freiburg W Away 0–3 L
05/09 FC Koln W Home 0–4 L
31/08 Bayern Munich W Away 0–2 L
24/08 Werder Bremen W Home 1–2 L

Stuttgart W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 SGS Essen W Home 3–0 W
24/10 Eintracht Frankfurt W Home 0–3 L
19/10 Bayern Munich W Away 0–5 L
04/10 Union Berlin W Home 0–4 L
21/09 Werder Bremen W Away 1–1 D
13/09 VfL Wolfsburg W Home 0–2 L
06/09 Nürnberg W Away 3–3 D
29/08 Hamburger SV W Home 2–1 W
23/08 1899 Hoffenheim W Away 2–1 W
17/05 SC Sand W Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

Mainz 05 W #14 · 0 pts ·  Stuttgart W #11 · 8 pts

Mainz 05 W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–8L
L 8
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score5
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.65
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.43
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Stuttgart W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Yellow cards12
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Mainz 05 WStuttgart W
L 8
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
3.40
2.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
5
4
Yellow cards
9
12
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.65
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.43
—
Corners for (avg)
4.50
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Mainz 05 W

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
7
31-45
1
6
46-60
2
61-75
1
8
76-90
scored conceded

Stuttgart W

3
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws