Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

SC Freiburg W vs Nürnberg W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Dreisamstadion • ⛅ 7.7°C, 3 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.7% · No 35.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available64.5% · Under 35.5% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.5% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available51.3% · Under 48.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

SC Freiburg W · Home

SC Freiburg W have scored in four of their last five matches, including 3-4 at Werder Bremen W, but their home form shows a 0-3 loss to RB Leipzig W and a 1-2 loss to Bayer Leverkusen W. Their recent xG for is 1.37, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.99.

Nürnberg W · Away

Nürnberg W have scored in all five recent matches, with 10-0 at Buntentor W and 2-0 over Bayer Leverkusen W, though they lost 1-5 at Hamburger SV W. Their recent xG for is 1.51, against a model expected goals of 1.34 here.

Freiburg's Narrow H2H Edge

The latest head-to-head, on 13 Mar 2026, finished 2-1 to SC Freiburg W, and Freiburg also won 1-2 at Nürnberg W. Nürnberg W did take the middle meeting 3-2, so this matchup has been close and high-scoring. Freiburg's 7 goals for and 10 against over five matches fit a 2-1 correct-score lean, and the model gives the home side 51.3%. The evidence supports SC Freiburg W win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 22:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: SC Freiburg W 1.99 – 1.34 Nürnberg W · expected total 3.33

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

SC Freiburg W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.95
Elo strength rating1441

Nürnberg W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.90
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.79
Elo strength rating1430
SC Freiburg WNürnberg W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
2.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.37
1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.95
1.79
Elo strength rating
1441
1430

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

SC Freiburg W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Nürnberg W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

SC Freiburg W

Best clean sheets (3, season)

Nürnberg W

2nd worst defence (2.90 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

SC Freiburg W at home · Nürnberg W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

SC Freiburg W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Nürnberg W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
SC Freiburg W (home)Nürnberg W (away)
W 2
L 2
D 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.50
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.54%
2–0
7.1%
3–1
6.32%
1–0
6.18%
3–0
4.71%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Nürnberg W 2 wins · 1 draw · SC Freiburg W 2 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5

2
1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
13 Mar 2026 SC Freiburg W 2–1 Nürnberg W Frauen Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 Nürnberg W 3–2 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
07 Sep 2024 Nürnberg W 1–2 SC Freiburg W DFB Pokal - Women
17 Mar 2024 Nürnberg W 0–0 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
21 Oct 2023 SC Freiburg W 0–2 Nürnberg W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

SC Freiburg W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Carl Zeiss Jena W Home 4–0 W
25/10 Werder Bremen W Away 3–4 L
16/10 RB Leipzig W Home 0–3 L
03/10 FC Koln W Away 1–0 W
26/09 Andernach W Away 2–1 W
20/09 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 1–2 L
13/09 Mainz 05 W Home 3–0 W
06/09 Bayern Munich W Away 1–4 L
29/08 Union Berlin W Home 1–0 W
23/08 Hamburger SV W Away 1–1 D

Nürnberg W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Eintracht Frankfurt W Home 0–0 D
25/10 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 2–0 W
18/10 Union Berlin W Away 1–2 L
04/10 1899 Hoffenheim W Home 1–2 L
27/09 Buntentor W Away 10–0 W
20/09 Hamburger SV W Away 1–5 L
12/09 RB Leipzig W Away 1–2 L
06/09 Stuttgart W Home 3–3 D
30/08 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 1–1 D
22/08 VfL Wolfsburg W Home 2–8 L

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

SC Freiburg W #9 · 10 pts ·  Nürnberg W #13 · 5 pts

SC Freiburg W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–4L
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards13
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.95
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Nürnberg W

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–5L
W 1
D 2
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.79
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
SC Freiburg WNürnberg W
W 3
D 1
L 4
W 1
D 2
L 5
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
2.90
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
13
22
Red cards
1
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.37
1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.95
1.79
Corners for (avg)
—
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

SC Freiburg W

2
0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Nürnberg W

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
8
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws