Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

Werder Bremen W vs Union Berlin W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Weserstadion Platz 11 • ⛅ 5.1°C, 12 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available55.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available81.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available83.5% · No 16.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available87.9% · Under 12.1% —
Correct Score 3-2 Current price not available6.3% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available55.5% · Under 44.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Werder Bremen W · Home

Werder Bremen W have won three of their last five, including home wins of 3-0 over 1899 Hoffenheim W and 4-3 over SC Freiburg W. Their recent record shows 11 goals scored and only one failure to win at home in that run.

Union Berlin W · Away

Union Berlin W are unbeaten in five, scoring 19 goals, with away wins such as 4-0 at Stuttgart W and 5-0 at Magdeburg W. Their two meetings with Hamburger SV W produced 4-3 and 4-4.

Home Edge Over High-Scoring Away Run

The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Union Berlin W beat Werder Bremen W 4-1 on 23 Mar 2026, yet the earlier meeting at this venue finished 3-0 to the home side. Werder Bremen W have scored in every recent match, with 11 goals across five games, while Union Berlin W have conceded 8 in their unbeaten run. The model's expected goals of 3.03 for Werder Bremen W against 2.1 for Union Berlin W support a home win rather than an away one. The evidence supports Werder Bremen W win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Werder Bremen W 3.01 – 2.09 Union Berlin W · expected total 5.10

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Werder Bremen W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.43
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
Elo strength rating1573

Union Berlin W

Form (last 5)
WDWWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.90
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.55
Elo strength rating1471
Werder Bremen WUnion Berlin W
Goals scored (season avg)
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.43
1.90
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.99
1.55
Elo strength rating
1573
1471

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Werder Bremen W

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Union Berlin W

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

Werder Bremen W

3rd best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) Best clean sheets (3, season)

Union Berlin W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Werder Bremen W at home · Union Berlin W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Werder Bremen W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Union Berlin W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Werder Bremen W (home)Union Berlin W (away)
W 4
D 1
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

3–2
6.3%
3–1
6.03%
2–1
6.01%
4–2
4.75%
4–1
4.54%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Union Berlin W 1 win · 0 draws · Werder Bremen W 1 win · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
23 Mar 2026 Union Berlin W 4–1 Werder Bremen W Frauen Bundesliga
01 Nov 2025 Werder Bremen W 3–0 Union Berlin W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

Werder Bremen W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Mainz 05 W Away 2–0 W
29/10 1899 Hoffenheim W Home 3–0 W
25/10 SC Freiburg W Home 4–3 W
02/10 Bayer Leverkusen W Away 2–3 L
26/09 Bochum W Away 1–0 W
21/09 Stuttgart W Home 1–1 D
11/09 Hamburger SV W Home 1–0 W
06/09 VfL Wolfsburg W Away 2–3 L
30/08 RB Leipzig W Home 2–0 W
24/08 Mainz 05 W Away 2–1 W

Union Berlin W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Hamburger SV W Away 4–3 W
25/10 Hamburger SV W Away 4–4 D
18/10 Nürnberg W Home 2–1 W
04/10 Stuttgart W Away 4–0 W
27/09 Magdeburg W Away 5–0 W
20/09 RB Leipzig W Home 3–2 W
12/09 FC Koln W Away 0–3 L
07/09 Eintracht Frankfurt W Home 0–1 L
29/08 SC Freiburg W Away 0–1 L
21/08 Bayern Munich W Home 1–4 L

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

Werder Bremen W #4 · 16 pts ·  Union Berlin W #8 · 10 pts

Werder Bremen W

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–2L
W 5
D 1
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.43
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Union Berlin W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–4L
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.90
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.55
Corners for (avg)6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Werder Bremen WUnion Berlin W
W 5
D 1
L 2
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
20
19
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.43
1.90
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.99
1.55
Corners for (avg)
6.40
6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Werder Bremen W

0-15
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
5
5
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Union Berlin W

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
6
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws