Indonesia Liga 1 Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 8 Matches β€’ Round 5 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

Value bets in Liga 1: 3 bets Β· 33.3% win Β· profit $-21.25 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 5

Tomorrow - Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 LLLDL
PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
LDDLL 76% 35.4% Home 2.26 β€”
15:00 LWWWW
Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC
DWDDW 75% 32.5% Home 2.85 β€”
15:00 LLLLD
Persijap Persijap vs Isenmulang Kalteng Isenmulang Kalteng
LLLLW 82% 51.9% Draw N/A β€”
15:00 WLLDL
Java United Java United vs Bali United Bali United
WLWWL 77% 37.3% Home N/A β€”

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 LDLDW
Garudayaksa Garudayaksa vs Arema FC Arema FC
DDDWL 74% 30.8% Away N/A β€”
15:00 WDWDL
Persita Persita vs Persija Persija
WWWWW 78% 41.4% Away N/A β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 WDWDW
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman PSS Sleman
WLLLW 85% 60.4% Home 1.81 β€”
15:00 WDWWW
Persib Bandung Persib Bandung vs Persik Kediri Persik Kediri
WDWLL 85% 59.4% Home 1.77 β€”

Predictlix Liga 1 Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 13, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Dewa United's trip to Persijap carries the window's sharpest edge, with the PredictLix model rating the visitors at 92 confidence and an 88.6% probability, the highest in this set. That gap stems from a home attack worth 2.2106 goals against an away figure of just 0.3172. Elsewhere, Bali United over Garudayaksa sits at 92 confidence, while Persija against Arema FC lands at 89. Back Dewa United, Bali United and Persija in a home treble, though the standout single remains Dewa United at 88.6%.

πŸ“ˆ

Model Track Record in This League

PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has settled 37 matches in this league, a sample small enough that every figure deserves caution. Match winner accuracy sits at 54.1% correct (20/37), while both teams to score landed at 51.4% correct (19/37). Over/Under 2.5 proved the weakest market at 43.2% correct (16/37), and correct score reached just 16.2% correct (6/37). Double chance remains the standout at 75.7% correct (28/37). Draw picks returned 37.5% correct (3/8), and high-confidence selections hit 52.4% correct (n=126).

⚽

Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Isenmulang Kalteng versus PSIM Yogyakarta stands out as the clearest Under 2.5 lean at 61%, with lambdas of 0.6339 and 0.5997 reflecting two blunt attacks. Persijap versus Isenmulang Kalteng goes further still, Under 2.5 at 69.4% given lambdas of 0.6237 and 0.1539. By contrast, Persepam Madura Utd versus Persib Bandung leans Over 2.5 at 53.6%, supported by lambdas of 1.7849 and 1.4494. Back Under 2.5 in the Isenmulang tie at 1.9 for solid value.

πŸ”₯

Streak & Momentum Signals

Persib Bandung arrive unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, the longest such run among teams in this window. At the other end, PSIM Yogyakarta have managed just 2 wins across their 10 most recent outings. Persijap and Isenmulang Kalteng both sit on four-match losing sequences, while Dewa United and Bali United each carry 92% confidence ratings. Note that flagged partial data for Garudayaksa, Isenmulang Kalteng and Bali United fixtures means some streaks rest on short samples.

🧱

Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Bali United and Persebaya Surabaya share the tightest defensive records in this window, each conceding just 0.5 goals per game with two clean sheets apiece. At the opposite end, Isenmulang Kalteng, PSM Makassar and Persijap all ship 2.8 goals per outing without a single shutout. Dewa United's backline stands out too, conceding only 0.3 per match across four games, while collecting three clean sheets along the way.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

Persija sit top on 12 points with a Champions League spot and a WWWW run, while Dewa United and Bali United chase on 11 and 9 points respectively. At the bottom, Isenmulang Kalteng, Persijap and PSIM Yogyakarta all occupy the RELEGATION ZONE and must win. Persija versus Arema FC in Regular Season - 6 pits the leaders against mid-table opposition. Persebaya Surabaya, sixth on 8 points, travel to relegation-threatened PSM Makassar. Every contest carries genuine stakes.

πŸ’°

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Persita versus Persija anchors the PredictLix treble, with the away side priced at 1.57 and confidence sitting at 85. PSIM Yogyakarta then host PSM Makassar at 2.25, a relegation-zone battle the engine rates at 76 confidence. Persepam Madura Utd complete the list, backed at home against Bhayangkara FC at 2.79 with 75 confidence. Combined odds across all three legs come to exactly 9.86. Stake this accumulator only if you accept the variance.

πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

37 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
54.1% 20/37
⚽ Both Teams to Score
51.4% 19/37
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
43.2% 16/37
πŸ”’ Correct Score
16.2% 6/37
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
75.7% 28/37
🀝 Draw Predictions
37.5% 3/8

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 68.4% 13/19
⚽ Both Teams to Score 57.9% 11/19
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 47.4% 9/19
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 84.2% 16/19

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 44.0% 46.7% 30
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 64.8% 80.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 74.3% 100.0% 2
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.0% 54.3% 35
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 63.6% 0.0% 2
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 51.5% 50.0% 32
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 62.8% 0.0% 5
Correct Score Β· <60% 10.6% 16.2% 37
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.2% 70.4% 27
Double Chance Β· 80+% 85.9% 100.0% 7
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.3% 66.7% 3
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 27.9% 37.5% 8

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
09/10 11:30 WDWLL
Persik Kediri Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd
LWWWW 77% 38.7% Away ❌ N/A 2 – 0 FT
09/10 15:00 LLLLW
Isenmulang Kalteng Isenmulang Kalteng vs Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
WDWDW 77% 37% Away βœ… N/A 0 – 1 FT
10/10 11:30 DDDWL
Arema FC Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC
DWDDW 80% 45.3% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT
10/10 11:30 WDWDL
Persita Persita vs Garudayaksa Garudayaksa
LDLDW 81% 49.4% Home βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT
10/10 11:30 LLLDL
PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija Persija
WWWWW 83% 54.4% Away βœ… N/A 0 – 4 FT
10/10 15:00 WLWWL
Bali United Bali United vs Persijap Persijap
LLLLD 92% 78.4% Home βœ… N/A 6 – 1 FT
11/10 11:30 WLLDL
Java United Java United vs Pusamania Borneo Pusamania Borneo
WLWLW 76% 35.5% Home βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT
11/10 11:30 WLLLW
PSS Sleman PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
LDDLL 76% 36.5% Home βœ… N/A 3 – 0 FT
11/10 15:00 WDWWW
Persib Bandung Persib Bandung vs Dewa United Dewa United
WWDWL 81% 49.5% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 2 FT