Indonesia Liga 1 Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 4 β€’ Updated 4 hours ago β€’ UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 4

Friday, October 09

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 DWLLL
Persik Kediri Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd
WWWWL 77% 38.7% Away N/A β€”
15:00 LLLWW
Isenmulang Kalteng Isenmulang Kalteng vs Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
DWDWW 77% 37% Away N/A β€”

Saturday, October 10

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 DDWLL
Arema FC Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC
WDDWL 80% 45.6% Home N/A β€”
11:30 LLDLW
PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija Persija
WWWWL 83% 54.4% Away N/A β€”
11:30 DWDLD
Persita Persita vs Garudayaksa Garudayaksa
DLDWW 82% 50.8% Home N/A β€”
15:00 LWWLW
Bali United Bali United vs Persijap Persijap
LLLDD 92% 79.5% Home N/A β€”

Sunday, October 11

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11:30 LLDLD
Java United Java United vs Pusamania Borneo Pusamania Borneo
WLWLW 75% 33.9% Away N/A β€”
15:00 WWLWW
Persib Bandung Persib Bandung vs Dewa United Dewa United
WWDWL 82% 52% Home N/A β€”
15:00 LLLWD
PSS Sleman PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
DDLLL 76% 36.5% Home N/A β€”

Predictlix Liga 1 Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 2, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Dewa United versus Persijap carries the sharpest edge in this window, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 85 percent, the highest probability anywhere in these twenty fixtures. The lambdas tell the story plainly: 2.0977 against 0.3869, a mismatch between the league leaders and a Persijap side still searching for a first point. Persebaya Surabaya against PSS Sleman also stands out at 90 confidence and 71.9 percent, while Bali United versus Persijap sits at 79.5 percent. Back Dewa United at home with high confidence, but keep stakes modest given the model's 47.9 percent record on 75-plus picks.

πŸ“ˆ

Model Track Record in This League

The PredictLix model's settled record in this league comes from just 28 matches, a sample small enough that every figure below deserves caution. Match winner accuracy sits at 46.4% correct (13/28), identical to the BTTS rate of 46.4% (13/28). Over/Under 2.5 calls landed at 39.3% (11/28), while correct score reached only 14.3% (4/28). Double chance stands far stronger at 71.4% (20/28). Draw picks managed 42.9% (3/7).

⚽

Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Persijap versus Isenmulang Kalteng stands out as the strongest Under 2.5 lean in this window, with the PredictLix model rating it at 68.2% and lambdas of 0.69 and 0.2186 reflecting two blunt attacks. By contrast, Persib Bandung versus Dewa United tilts Over 2.5 at 54.7%, driven by a home lambda of 2.0222 against 1.3754. Persebaya Surabaya versus PSS Sleman leans Under 2.5 at 50.1%, with PSS Sleman's away lambda just 0.6713. Back Under 2.5 in Persijap versus Isenmulang Kalteng at 68.2% confidence.

πŸ”₯

Streak & Momentum Signals

Persepam Madura Utd arrive on a three-match winning run, while Persija have matched that sequence with three straight victories of their own. At the other end, PSS Sleman, Persijap and Isenmulang Kalteng have each lost their last three, and Isenmulang Kalteng carry a goal difference of -9. Persita's trend engine flags an unbeaten run spanning 9 of their 10 most recent matches, yet PSIM Yogyakarta have managed just 2 wins across the same span. Early season caveat: only 4 rounds played, so these streaks remain short samples.

🧱

Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Isenmulang Kalteng own the leakiest defensive record in this window, conceding 3.3 goals per game across three outings without a single clean sheet. At the other end, Persija and PSIM Yogyakarta have shipped just 0.3 and 0.7 respectively, while Persebaya Surabaya and Persib Bandung also sit on 0.7. Persijap and Java United remain without a shutout, conceding 1.7 apiece. Only Pusamania Borneo, Persija, PSIM Yogyakarta and Persebaya Surabaya have kept two clean sheets each.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

Dewa United sit top on 10 points, yet the snapshot stresses the table is not yet meaningful across only 4 rounds played. Java United, on -1 points and 17th, host Pusamania Borneo knowing every early result shapes survival hopes. Persijap and Isenmulang Kalteng, both winless, meet in a Regular Season - 5 clash where the bottom side badly needs a first point. PSS Sleman, still on 0 points with form LLL, face a Persebaya Surabaya side chasing momentum.

πŸ’°

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Persebaya Surabaya carry the sharpest edge in this window, with the PredictLix model rating their home clash against PSS Sleman at 90 confidence and a 71.9% predicted outcome share. Dewa United and Bali United both sit on 92 confidence, the joint-highest marks available. No accumulator is offered here, because the snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs with real odds to build one honestly. Instead, treat Persebaya Surabaya as a single pick and confirm the price before staking.

πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

28 matches analysed Updated Sep 20, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
46.4% 13/28
⚽ Both Teams to Score
46.4% 13/28
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
39.3% 11/28
πŸ”’ Correct Score
14.3% 4/28
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
71.4% 20/28
🀝 Draw Predictions
42.9% 3/7

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 42.3% 11/26
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 13/26
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 42.3% 11/26
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 69.2% 18/26

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 44.7% 36.4% 22
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 64.8% 80.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 70.2% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 51.9% 50.0% 26
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 63.6% 0.0% 2
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 51.9% 47.8% 23
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 62.8% 0.0% 5
Correct Score Β· <60% 11.0% 14.3% 28
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.3% 66.7% 21
Double Chance Β· 80+% 84.8% 100.0% 6
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.3% 0.0% 1
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 28.0% 42.9% 7

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 3

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
18/09 11:30 DDWLL
Arema FC Arema FC vs Persik Kediri Persik Kediri
DWLLL 83% 56.2% Home ❌ @1.75 1 – 1 FT
18/09 15:00 WWWWL
Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd vs PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta
LLDLW 80% 49.3% Home βœ… @2.09 2 – 1 FT
19/09 11:30 DWDWW
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya vs Garudayaksa Garudayaksa
DLDWW 88% 66.5% Home ❌ @1.34 1 – 1 FT
19/09 11:30 DDLLL
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar vs Persita Persita
DWDLD 77% 41.9% Home ❌ @2.02 2 – 2 FT
19/09 15:00 WDDWL
Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC vs Isenmulang Kalteng Isenmulang Kalteng
LLLWW 88% 66.3% Home βœ… N/A 2 – 0 FT
19/09 15:00 WWWWL
Persija Persija vs Java United Java United
LLDLD 90% 70.2% Home βœ… N/A 1 – 0 FT
20/09 11:30 WLWLW
Pusamania Borneo Pusamania Borneo vs Bali United Bali United
LWWLW 79% 46% Home βœ… @2.08 1 – 0 FT
20/09 11:30 WWDWL
Dewa United Dewa United vs PSS Sleman PSS Sleman
LLLWD 89% 67.3% Home βœ… @1.42 2 – 1 FT
20/09 15:00 LLLDD
Persijap Persijap vs Persib Bandung Persib Bandung
WWLWW 82% 54.4% Away βœ… @1.43 1 – 2 FT