Predictions → Italy Coppa Italia Serie D

Ternana vs Ancona

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 18 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 16 • Stadio Libero Liberati

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available52% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65.5% · No 34.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65.8% · Under 34.2% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Ternana 52.0% · Draw 23.4% · Ancona 24.6%. Selected outcome: Ternana win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Ternana 2.04, Ancona 1.36, expected total 3.40.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Ternana: W-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Ancona: W-L-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ternana

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)3.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1393

Ancona

Form (last 5)
WDWLW
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1353
TernanaAncona
Goals scored (season avg)
3.50
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
Elo strength rating
1393
1353

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ternana

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Ancona

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D

Ternana

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Ancona

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ternana at home · Ancona away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Ternana (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)5.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Ancona (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Ternana (home)Ancona (away)
W 1
W 1
Played
1
1
Goals scored (avg)
5.00
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.49%
2–0
6.97%
3–1
6.44%
1–0
5.92%
3–0
4.73%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Ternana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Seravezza Home 3–0 W
28/10 Prato Away 2–1 W
25/10 Progresso Away 1–0 W
21/10 Recanatese Home 5–1 W
18/10 Robur Siena Home 2–1 W
11/10 Lucchese Away 2–2 D
04/10 Montevarchi Calcio Home 4–1 W
27/09 Scandicci Away 0–0 D
20/09 Tau Altopascio Home 3–0 W
16/09 Mezzolara Away 1–2 L

Ancona

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Atletico Ascoli Home 1–0 W
28/10 Robur Siena Away 2–2 D
25/10 Vigor Senigallia Away 5–0 W
18/10 Fossombrone Home 2–3 L
11/10 Real Giulianova Away 2–0 W
04/10 Sporting Trestina Home 2–0 W
27/09 Angelana Away 1–1 D
20/09 L'Aquila Home 2–2 D
16/09 Maceratese Away 1–0 W
12/09 Montecchio Gallo Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D

Ternana

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Ancona

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)10/0
TernanaAncona
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.50
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
10/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ternana

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Ancona

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
7
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Coppa Italia Serie D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws