Predictions → Italy Coppa Italia Serie D

Igea Virtus vs Modica

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 18 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 16

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available44.9% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available74.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available62.9% · No 37.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available60.4% · Under 39.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Igea Virtus 44.9% · Draw 25.5% · Modica 29.6%. Selected outcome: Igea Virtus win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Igea Virtus 1.74, Modica 1.39, expected total 3.13.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Igea Virtus: W-D-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Modica: W-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Igea Virtus

Form (last 5)
LWDWL
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1369

Modica

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1363
Igea VirtusModica
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1369
1363

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Igea Virtus

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Modica

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D

Igea Virtus

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Modica

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Igea Virtus at home · Modica away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Igea Virtus (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Modica (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)4.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Igea Virtus (home)Modica (away)
W 1
W 1
Played
1
1
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
4.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.24%
2–0
6.67%
1–0
6.58%
3–1
5.37%
3–0
3.88%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Igea Virtus

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Sambiase Home 2–4 L
28/10 Gelbison Away 1–0 W
25/10 Enna Away 2–2 D
18/10 Ragusa Home 3–1 W
11/10 CastrumFavara Away 2–3 L
07/10 Reggina Home 3–2 W
04/10 Nissa Home 1–1 D
27/09 Reggina Away 0–2 L
20/09 Trapani 1905 Away 3–1 W
16/09 Vibonese Home 4–3 W

Modica

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gela Home 0–1 L
28/10 Licata Home 1–0 W
25/10 Milazzo Away 0–1 L
11/10 Digiesse PraiaTortora Away 1–5 L
07/10 Calcio Avola Away 4–0 W
04/10 Enna Home 3–0 W
27/09 Siracusa Away 0–1 L
20/09 CastrumFavara Home 1–0 W
16/09 Sambiase Away 0–1 L
13/09 Reggina Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D

Igea Virtus

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Modica

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Igea VirtusModica
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Igea Virtus

1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Modica

0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Coppa Italia Serie D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws