Predictions → Italy Coppa Italia Serie D

Sanremese vs Leon

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 18 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 16

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available49.2% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available63.5% · No 36.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available62.4% · Under 37.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Sanremese 49.2% · Draw 24.5% · Leon 26.3%. Selected outcome: Sanremese win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Sanremese 1.89, Leon 1.34, expected total 3.22.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Sanremese: W-D-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Leon: L-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Sanremese

Form (last 5)
DWDWD
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1369

Leon

Form (last 5)
WDLWW
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1347
SanremeseLeon
DWDWD
WDLWW
Goals scored (season avg)
3.00
2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
Elo strength rating
1369
1347

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Sanremese

Unbeaten 7
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Leon

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D

Sanremese

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Leon

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sanremese at home · Leon away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Sanremese (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)5.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Leon (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Sanremese (home)Leon (away)
W 1
W 1
Played
1
1
Goals scored (avg)
5.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.51%
2–0
7.11%
1–0
6.53%
3–1
5.98%
3–0
4.48%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Sanremese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Imperia Home 0–0 D
28/10 Sant'Angelo Away 1–0 W
24/10 Millesimo Away 1–1 D
18/10 Sestri Levante Home 1–0 W
11/10 Valenzana Away 1–1 D
07/10 Millesimo Home 5–2 W
04/10 Bra Home 3–0 W
27/09 Gozzano Away 1–2 L
20/09 Saluzzo Home 2–2 D
16/09 Chisola Away 0–1 L

Leon

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Tritium Away 1–0 W
28/10 Pro Patria Home 1–1 D
25/10 Chievo Home 0–4 L
18/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Away 2–1 W
11/10 Pavonese Home 3–0 W
07/10 Real Calepina Away 2–0 W
04/10 Club Milano Away 2–1 W
27/09 Villa Valle Home 1–2 L
20/09 Rovato Vertovese Away 2–2 D
16/09 Piacenza Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D

Sanremese

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Leon

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
SanremeseLeon
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.50
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sanremese

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Leon

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Coppa Italia Serie D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws