Lucchese vs Sestri Levante
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 32 • Porta Elisa • ☁️ 15.1°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 41.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 70.9% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 49.6% · Yes 50.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Over 44% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 10.5% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Lucchese 41.2% · Draw 29.7% · Sestri Levante 29.1%. Selected outcome: Lucchese win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Lucchese 1.35, Sestri Levante 1.09, expected total 2.44.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Lucchese: D-L-D-W-W in their last five matches.
Sestri Levante: D-L-D-W-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Lucchese 1–0 Sestri Levante, 17 May 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Lucchese
Sestri Levante
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D
Lucchese
Sestri Levante
Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Lucchese at home · Sestri Levante away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Lucchese (home)
Sestri Levante (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Lucchese 2 wins · 2 draws · Sestri Levante 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | Lucchese | 1–0 | Sestri Levante | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| 10 May 2025 | Sestri Levante | 2–1 | Lucchese | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Sestri Levante | 1–1 | Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| 11 Oct 2024 | Lucchese | 0–0 | Sestri Levante | Serie C - Girone B |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Lucchese | 1–3 | Sestri Levante | Serie C - Girone B |
| 09 Sep 2023 | Sestri Levante | 0–1 | Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Lucchese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Ternana | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 04/10 | Grassina | Away | 6–3 | W |
| 27/09 | Robur Siena | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Rondinella | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 16/09 | Progresso | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Seravezza | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 06/09 | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | 2–1 | W |
Sestri Levante
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ligorna | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Saluzzo | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Sanremese | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Celle Varazze | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Pistoiese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Borgosesia | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Biellese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Lascaris | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Fezzanese | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Alessandria | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D
Lucchese
Sestri Levante
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Lucchese
Sestri Levante
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Coppa Italia Serie D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws