Predictions → Italy Coppa Italia Serie D

Virtus Francavilla vs Turris

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 18 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 16 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available49.8% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65.8% · No 34.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65.4% · Under 34.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Virtus Francavilla 49.8% · Draw 23.8% · Turris 26.4%. Selected outcome: Virtus Francavilla win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Virtus Francavilla 1.97, Turris 1.40, expected total 3.37.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Virtus Francavilla: W-W-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Turris: D-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Turris 1–2 Virtus Francavilla, 01 Nov 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Virtus Francavilla

Form (last 5)
WWWLW
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1369

Turris

Form (last 5)
LDDWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season—
Elo strength rating1347
Virtus FrancavillaTurris
WWWLW
LDDWW
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.00
0.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
—
Elo strength rating
1369
1347

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Virtus Francavilla

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Turris

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D

Virtus Francavilla

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Turris

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Virtus Francavilla at home · Turris away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Virtus Francavilla (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Turris (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Virtus Francavilla (home)Turris (away)
W 1
W 1
Played
1
1
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
1.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.39%
2–0
6.7%
3–1
6.18%
1–0
5.84%
3–0
4.41%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Turris 3 wins · 2 draws · Virtus Francavilla 4 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9

3
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Nov 2026 Turris 1–2 Virtus Francavilla Serie D - Girone H
14 Feb 2024 Virtus Francavilla 0–0 Turris Serie C - Girone C
08 Oct 2023 Turris 1–3 Virtus Francavilla Serie C - Girone C
23 Dec 2022 Virtus Francavilla 3–1 Turris Serie C - Girone C
04 Sep 2022 Turris 2–2 Virtus Francavilla Serie C - Girone C
13 Apr 2022 Turris 1–0 Virtus Francavilla Serie C - Girone C
21 Nov 2021 Virtus Francavilla 1–2 Turris Serie C - Girone C
30 Jan 2021 Virtus Francavilla 3–1 Turris Serie C - Girone C
04 Oct 2020 Turris 1–0 Virtus Francavilla Serie C - Girone C

📈 Recent Form

Virtus Francavilla

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Turris Away 2–1 W
28/10 Fidelis Andria Away 1–0 W
25/10 Manfredonia Home 2–0 W
18/10 Fidelis Andria Away 1–2 L
11/10 Real Forio 2014 Home 2–0 W
07/10 Gravina Home 3–0 W
04/10 Gravina Away 2–4 L
27/09 Gladiator Home 2–1 W
20/09 Martina Franca Away 2–1 W
16/09 Brindisi Home 2–1 W

Turris

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Virtus Francavilla Home 1–2 L
28/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Home 0–0 D
25/10 Real Normanna Away 1–1 D
18/10 Real Forio 2014 Away 2–1 W
11/10 Manfredonia Home 3–0 W
04/10 Gladiator Away 1–1 D
27/09 Fidelis Andria Home 2–0 W
20/09 Brindisi Away 2–1 W
16/09 Gravina Home 0–0 D
13/09 USD Palmese Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D

Virtus Francavilla

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Turris

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)10/3
Virtus FrancavillaTurris
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
10/3

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Virtus Francavilla

0-15
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Turris

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
8
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Coppa Italia Serie D predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws