Predictions → Italy Coppa Italia Serie D

Valenzana vs Villa Valle

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 18 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round of 16

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 03 Nov 2026 10:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available42.2% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available73.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available61.8% · No 38.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available58.6% · Under 41.4% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Valenzana 42.2% · Draw 26.2% · Villa Valle 31.6%. Selected outcome: Valenzana win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Valenzana 1.64, Villa Valle 1.40, expected total 3.04.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Valenzana: L-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Villa Valle: W-W-D-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Valenzana

Form (last 5)
LWLLD
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1372

Villa Valle

Form (last 5)
WWDWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season—
Elo strength rating1363
ValenzanaVilla Valle
LWLLD
WWDWW
Goals scored (season avg)
3.00
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
—
Elo strength rating
1372
1363

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Valenzana

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Villa Valle

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 7
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
5/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Coppa Italia Serie D

Valenzana

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Villa Valle

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 16 Coppa Italia Serie D teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Valenzana at home · Villa Valle away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Valenzana (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L
W 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Villa Valle (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Valenzana (home)Villa Valle (away)
W 2
Played
2
0
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.03%
1–0
6.75%
2–0
6.45%
3–1
4.95%
3–0
3.54%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Valenzana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Celle Varazze Away 1–2 L
28/10 Biellese Home 3–0 W
25/10 Ligorna Home 0–1 L
18/10 Biellese Away 1–4 L
11/10 Sanremese Home 1–1 D
07/10 Saluzzo Home 3–2 W
04/10 Fezzanese Away 2–1 W
27/09 Borgosesia Home 1–2 L
20/09 Asti Away 2–2 D
16/09 Lascaris Home 0–1 L

Villa Valle

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Brusaporto Home 5–2 W
28/10 Brusaporto Home 1–0 W
24/10 Scanzorosciate Away 0–0 D
18/10 Pro Palazzolo Home 1–0 W
11/10 Real Calepina Away 3–0 W
04/10 Fiorenzuola Home 0–0 D
27/09 Leon Away 2–1 W
20/09 Milan II Home 1–2 L
16/09 Tritium Away 1–1 D
12/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Coppa Italia Serie D

Valenzana

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Villa Valle

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1
ValenzanaVilla Valle
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.50
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
4/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Valenzana

1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Villa Valle

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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