Benevento vs Avellino
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 21:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Ciro Vigorito • 🌫 10.2°C, 5 km/h fog
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.83 (58.0%, Model EV +6.1%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.82 → 1.85 ▲2% | Pinnacle1.85 | 49.8% | -7.9% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.25 | 75.6% | -5.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.83 | 58% · No 42% | +6.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.98 | 50.4% · Under 49.6% | -0.2% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano8.75 | 8.9% | -22.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.6% · Over 41.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Benevento · Home
Benevento have scored in four of their last five matches, including a 3-0 win at Arezzo and a 2-0 home win over Cesena. Their recent xG for is 1.19 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.51.
Avellino · Away
Avellino have scored in four of their last five, with a 4-1 home win over Sampdoria and a 2-0 home win over Pisa. Their recent xG for is 1.49 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.31.
Benevento edge tight derby
The latest head-to-head, on 30 Mar 2025, finished 2-1 to Avellino, but the earlier meeting in Benevento ended 2-2. Benevento have won two of their last five, drawing two and losing one, with 8 goals for and 5 against. Avellino's identical 2-2-1 record includes 8 goals for and 4 against. The evidence supports Benevento win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Benevento 1.51 – 1.31 Avellino · expected total 2.82
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Benevento
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Benevento
Avellino
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie B
Benevento
Avellino
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Benevento at home · Avellino away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Benevento (home)
Avellino (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Avellino 3 wins · 2 draws · Benevento 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 4 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2025 | Avellino | 2–1 | Benevento | Serie C - Girone C |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Benevento | 2–2 | Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| 15 Apr 2024 | Avellino | 1–0 | Benevento | Serie C - Girone C |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Benevento | 0–1 | Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| 01 May 2017 | Benevento | 2–1 | Avellino | Serie B |
| 10 Dec 2016 | Avellino | 1–1 | Benevento | Serie B |
📈 Recent Form
Benevento
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cremonese | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Catanzaro | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Arezzo | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Vicenza Virtus | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Cesena | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 02/10 | Frosinone | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Carrarese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Hellas Verona | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Ascoli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 30/08 | Sudtirol | Home | 1–1 | D |
Avellino
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pisa | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Virtus Entella | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Padova | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Cesena | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 09/10 | Sampdoria | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ascoli | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Palermo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Modena | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 29/08 | Vicenza Virtus | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 22/08 | Arezzo | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie B
Benevento #6 · 15 pts · Avellino #5 · 15 pts
Benevento
Avellino
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Benevento
Avellino
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws