Carrarese vs Sampdoria
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:15 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio dei Marmi • 🌦 16.2°C, 9 km/h, 1.8mm showers
Snapshotted at publish: Home at 2.57 (42.9%, Model EV +10.3%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.57 | 42.9% | +10.3% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.44 | 71.6% | +3.1% |
| BTTS | No | 1xBet2.11 | 49.1% · Yes 50.9% | +3.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Marathonbet1.89 | 51.2% · Over 48.8% | -3.2% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Marathonbet8.30 | 11% | -8.7% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 52% · Over 48% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Carrarese · Home
Carrarese have won three of their last five, including home wins over Arezzo and Modena by 2-1. Their model expected goals of 1.67 is the highest figure in this matchup.
Sampdoria · Away
Sampdoria have lost three of five, conceding nine goals, and failed to score at Ascoli in a 0-2 defeat. Their model expected goals of 0.95 is well below Carrarese's forecast.
Carrarese's Home Edge Over Sampdoria
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Carrarese beat Sampdoria 2-0 at home on 18 Mar 2026, and also won the previous home meeting 1-0. Sampdoria's away form supports that pattern, with losses at Ascoli (0-2) and Avellino (1-4) plus a 1-1 draw at Sudtirol. Carrarese's recent home results of 2-1 over Arezzo and 2-1 over Modena show they can convert that edge, while their model expected goals of 1.67 against Sampdoria's 0.95 points the same way. The evidence supports Carrarese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Carrarese 1.67 – 0.95 Sampdoria · expected total 2.62
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Carrarese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Carrarese
Sampdoria
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Carrarese at home · Sampdoria away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Carrarese (home)
Sampdoria (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Carrarese 2 wins · 1 draw · Sampdoria 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | Carrarese | 2–0 | Sampdoria | Serie B |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Sampdoria | 3–2 | Carrarese | Serie B |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Carrarese | 1–0 | Sampdoria | Serie B |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Sampdoria | 1–1 | Carrarese | Serie B |
📈 Recent Form
Carrarese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Hellas Verona | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 28/10 | Arezzo | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Palermo | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Modena | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Padova | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Benevento | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Catanzaro | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Empoli | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Ascoli | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 22/08 | Mantova | Home | 1–2 | L |
Sampdoria
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Virtus Entella | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Ascoli | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Sudtirol | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Arezzo | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/10 | Avellino | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Catanzaro | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Mantova | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Palermo | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/08 | Juve Stabia | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 23/08 | Cesena | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie B
Carrarese #15 · 10 pts · Sampdoria #19 · 8 pts
Carrarese
Sampdoria
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Carrarese
Sampdoria
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws