Cesena vs Catanzaro
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi • ⛅ 14.1°C, 5 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.20 | 46% | +1.2% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.30 | 73.6% | -4.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.62 | 59.1% · No 40.9% | -4.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Pinnacle1.79 | 55.5% · Under 44.5% | -0.7% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.25 | 9.6% | -11.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.5% · Over 48.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cesena · Home
Cesena have won just once in their last five, but that win came at home against Empoli (2-1). Their latest meeting with Catanzaro, at home on 21 Mar 2026, ended 3-1.
Catanzaro · Away
Catanzaro are without a win in five, drawing three, and conceded 13 goals across those matches. They did win the two previous head-to-heads before that, 2-0 and 1-0, both at home.
Cesena's home H2H edge
The latest head-to-head is the most telling angle: Cesena beat Catanzaro 3-1 at home on 21 Mar 2026, after Catanzaro had won the two prior meetings at home. Catanzaro's recent away form includes a 2-2 draw at Hellas Verona, but their home results of 1-6 and 1-3 show a defence conceding heavily. Cesena's model expected goals of 1.75 sit above Catanzaro's 1.21, supporting a home attacking edge. The evidence supports Cesena win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cesena 1.75 – 1.21 Catanzaro · expected total 2.96
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cesena
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cesena
Catanzaro
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie B
Cesena
Catanzaro
Rank among 20 Serie B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cesena at home · Catanzaro away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cesena (home)
Catanzaro (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Catanzaro 3 wins · 0 draws · Cesena 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Cesena | 3–1 | Catanzaro | Serie B |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Catanzaro | 2–0 | Cesena | Serie B |
| 17 May 2025 | Catanzaro | 1–0 | Cesena | Serie B |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Catanzaro | 4–2 | Cesena | Serie B |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Cesena | 2–0 | Catanzaro | Serie B |
📈 Recent Form
Cesena
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sudtirol | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Empoli | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Modena | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Avellino | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Benevento | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 18/09 | Juve Stabia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Cremonese | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/09 | Mantova | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria | Home | 1–1 | D |
Catanzaro
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Padova | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Benevento | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Ascoli | Home | 1–6 | L |
| 16/10 | Hellas Verona | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 11/10 | Mantova | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Sampdoria | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Carrarese | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Sudtirol | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Pisa | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 21/08 | Vicenza Virtus | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie B
Cesena #12 · 12 pts · Catanzaro #20 · 6 pts
Cesena
Catanzaro
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cesena
Catanzaro
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws