Pisa vs Sudtirol
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani • ⛅ 16.5°C, 9 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.82 (68.5%, Model EV +24.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.69 → 1.65 ▼2% | Betano1.65 | 59% | -2.7% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.19 | 81.2% | -3.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.82 | 67.4% · No 32.6% | +22.7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.82 | 58.2% · Under 41.8% | +5.9% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Marathonbet7.60 | 9.4% | -28.6% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.4 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.5% · Under 43.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Pisa · Home
Pisa have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, including 3-3 at home to Palermo and 3-1 against Cremonese. Their recent_xg_for of 2.18 sits close to a model_expected_goals figure of 2.15 for this fixture.
Sudtirol · Away
Sudtirol have drawn three of their last five and failed to score in three of them, with just 2 goals scored. Their recent_xg_for of 0.98 is well below Pisa's output, though the model_expected_goals of 1.41 suggests they can contribute.
Pisa's Scoring Edge
The latest H2H, a 3-3 draw on 9 May 2025, shows Sudtirol can score against Pisa, and the 2-2 in May 2024 reinforces that. Still, Sudtirol's recent record of 2 goals in five matches and three failures to score makes a repeat less likely than Pisa's scoring form. Pisa's 10 goals in five, backed by a recent_xg_for of 2.18, support the published primary pick. The evidence supports Pisa win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pisa 2.15 – 1.41 Sudtirol · expected total 3.55
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Pisa
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pisa
Sudtirol
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie B
Pisa
Sudtirol
Rank among 20 Serie B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pisa at home · Sudtirol away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pisa (home)
Sudtirol (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Pisa 2 wins · 2 draws · Sudtirol 2 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May 2025 | Pisa | 3–3 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Sudtirol | 1–2 | Pisa | Serie B |
| 05 May 2024 | Pisa | 2–2 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Sudtirol | 1–2 | Pisa | Serie B |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Pisa | 0–1 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
| 04 Sep 2022 | Sudtirol | 2–1 | Pisa | Serie B |
📈 Recent Form
Pisa
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Avellino | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 28/10 | Palermo | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 25/10 | Hellas Verona | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Cremonese | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Vicenza Virtus | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Monaco | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Mantova | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Fiorentina | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 11/09 | Virtus Entella | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Juve Stabia | Away | 3–0 | W |
Sudtirol
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cesena | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Padova | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Sampdoria | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Juve Stabia | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Ascoli | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 02/10 | Wacker Innsbruck | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Arezzo | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Genoa | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Modena | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Catanzaro | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie B
Pisa #8 · 15 pts · Sudtirol #10 · 14 pts
Pisa
Sudtirol
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pisa
Sudtirol
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws