Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Albinoleffe vs Union Brescia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 14 • AlbinoLeffe • ☀️ 11.8°C, 2 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available27.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available64.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available58.1% · No 41.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available46.8% · Over 53.2% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Albinoleffe · Home

Albinoleffe have scored in four of their last five, including a 3-2 home win over Pergolettese (3-2) and a 2-2 draw with Novara (2-2). Their only blank in that run came in a 0-0 at Renate (0-0), so the home side arrive with a mixed but generally productive record of 9 goals in 5.

Union Brescia · Away

Union Brescia have scored in all five recent matches, with 10 goals in total, and their 4-0 win at Folgore Caratese (4-0) shows they can convert chances. They also lost 1-2 at home to Cittadella (1-2), so their record is not one of unbroken control.

Both Sides Score, But No Clear Edge

The latest head-to-head was a 1-0 Albinoleffe win (1-0), while the earlier meeting finished 2-1 to Union Brescia (2-1), so the two most recent meetings were split by a single goal. Albinoleffe's recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 9 goals for and 8 against, sits close to Union Brescia's 3 wins and 2 losses, with 10 for and 5 against. Both teams have scored in four of Albinoleffe's last five and in all five of Union Brescia's, which supports a tight, shared-scoring contest rather than a one-sided result. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Albinoleffe 1.41 – 1.40 Union Brescia · expected total 2.81

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Albinoleffe

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1488

Union Brescia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1718
AlbinoleffeUnion Brescia
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
0.80
Best league winning streak this season
3
5
Elo strength rating
1488
1718

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Albinoleffe

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Union Brescia

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Albinoleffe

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Union Brescia

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Albinoleffe at home · Union Brescia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Albinoleffe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–2L
W 1
D 3
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Union Brescia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Albinoleffe (home)Union Brescia (away)
W 1
D 3
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.80
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.09%
0–0
7.23%
2–2
5.87%
3–3
1.29%
4–4
0.16%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Albinoleffe 1 win · 0 draws · Union Brescia 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Mar 2026 Albinoleffe 1–0 Union Brescia Serie C - Girone A
25 Oct 2025 Union Brescia 2–1 Albinoleffe Serie C - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Albinoleffe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Pergolettese Home 3–2 W
25/10 Renate Away 0–0 D
18/10 Novara Home 2–2 D
10/10 Lumezzane Away 2–3 L
03/10 Cittadella Away 2–1 W
27/09 Alcione Home 1–1 D
20/09 Juventus U23 Away 5–3 W
17/09 Arzignano Valchiampo Home 1–2 L
13/09 Dolomiti Bellunesi Away 0–0 D
06/09 Athletic Carpi Home 0–1 L

Union Brescia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Folgore Caratese Away 4–0 W
28/10 Cittadella Home 1–2 L
24/10 Cittadella Home 2–1 W
19/10 Giana Erminio Away 1–2 L
09/10 PRO Vercelli Home 2–0 W
04/10 Lecco Away 2–2 D
27/09 Dolomiti Bellunesi Home 1–1 D
20/09 Alcione Away 4–0 W
17/09 Treviso Home 2–2 D
13/09 Trento Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Albinoleffe #9 · 17 pts ·  Union Brescia #2 · 25 pts

Albinoleffe

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–3L
W 4
D 5
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards16
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Union Brescia

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–1L
W 7
D 4
L 1
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards25
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
AlbinoleffeUnion Brescia
W 4
D 5
L 3
W 7
D 4
L 1
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.80
Clean sheets
2
5
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
16
25
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Albinoleffe

2
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
6
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Union Brescia

2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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