Alcione vs Lumezzane
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • Stadio Ferruccio • ☁️ 27.2°C, 6 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 84% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 61.9% · Yes 38.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 65% · Over 35% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Alcione · Home
Alcione scored 11 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-1 home win over Desenzano Calvina and a 3-1 away win at Giana Erminio, and failed to score in none of them. Their model expected goals of 1.44 for this fixture sits well above Lumezzane's 0.66.
Lumezzane · Away
Lumezzane have won just one of their last five, with away defeats at Pergolettese and Athletic Carpi by 1-2 and 1-3. They did hold Alcione to a 0-0 in the latest head-to-head on 3 May 2026, showing they can keep this tight.
Alcione edge a tight H2H
The three head-to-head meetings were all decided by a single goal or drawn, with the home side winning 1-0 in two of them, including Alcione's 1-0 win. Alcione's five-match run of 11 goals for and 7 against shows they score consistently, while Lumezzane have failed to score in one of their last five and managed only 6 goals. A 1-0 correct score fits that narrow pattern. The evidence supports Alcione win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Alcione 1.44 – 0.66 Lumezzane · expected total 2.10
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Alcione
Lumezzane
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A
Alcione
Lumezzane
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Alcione at home · Lumezzane away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Alcione (home)
Lumezzane (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Alcione 3 wins · 2 draws · Lumezzane 2 wins · avg 1.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Lumezzane | 0–0 | Alcione | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Lumezzane | 1–0 | Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Alcione | 1–0 | Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Lumezzane | 1–1 | Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Alcione | 1–0 | Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Alcione | 1–0 | Lumezzane | Serie D - Girone B |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Lumezzane | 3–1 | Alcione | Serie D - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Alcione
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Giana Erminio | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Athletic Carpi | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Desenzano Calvina | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Lecco | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Trento | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 27/09 | Albinoleffe | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Union Brescia | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 17/09 | PRO Vercelli | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Folgore Caratese | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 07/09 | Treviso | Home | 1–1 | D |
Lumezzane
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arzignano Valchiampo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Pergolettese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Athletic Carpi | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Juventus U23 | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Albinoleffe | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 03/10 | Inter | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Folgore Caratese | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 21/09 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/09 | Novara | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Renate | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A
Alcione #7 · 18 pts · Lumezzane #12 · 13 pts
Alcione
Lumezzane
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Alcione
Lumezzane
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws