Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • Stadio Mario Rigamonti

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.1% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available66.8% · No 33.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available67.1% · Under 32.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Union Brescia · Home

Union Brescia have scored in all five recent matches, including a 4-0 win at Folgore Caratese, and their model expected goals of 2.05 is the higher of the two sides. They also won 2-1 at Arzignano Valchiampo in the latest head-to-head on 4 Jan 2026.

Arzignano Valchiampo · Away

Arzignano Valchiampo have drawn two of their last five and failed to score in only one of those matches, a 0-1 loss at Cittadella. They won the earlier meeting 2-1 at Union Brescia on 23 Aug 2025, so this head-to-head has twice finished 2-1.

Brescia's Scoring Run

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Union Brescia won 2-1 away at Arzignano Valchiampo on 4 Jan 2026, and the reverse fixture also ended 2-1. Brescia have scored in all five recent matches, with 10 goals across a record of 3 wins and two losses. Arzignano have two wins, two draws and one loss in five, and they failed to score in the 0-1 defeat at Cittadella. A home win fits that scoring pattern and the 2-1 correct-score pick. The evidence supports Union Brescia win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Union Brescia 2.05 – 1.41 Arzignano Valchiampo · expected total 3.47

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Union Brescia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1718

Arzignano Valchiampo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1551
Union BresciaArzignano Valchiampo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
5
3
Elo strength rating
1718
1551

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Union Brescia

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Arzignano Valchiampo

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Union Brescia

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Arzignano Valchiampo

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Union Brescia at home · Arzignano Valchiampo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Union Brescia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–0L
W 4
D 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Arzignano Valchiampo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Union Brescia (home)Arzignano Valchiampo (away)
W 4
D 2
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.00
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.35%
2–0
6.61%
3–1
6.39%
1–0
5.54%
3–2
4.52%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Arzignano Valchiampo 1 win · 0 draws · Union Brescia 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Jan 2026 Arzignano Valchiampo 1–2 Union Brescia Serie C - Girone A
23 Aug 2025 Union Brescia 1–2 Arzignano Valchiampo Serie C - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Union Brescia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Folgore Caratese Away 4–0 W
28/10 Cittadella Home 1–2 L
24/10 Cittadella Home 2–1 W
19/10 Giana Erminio Away 1–2 L
09/10 PRO Vercelli Home 2–0 W
04/10 Lecco Away 2–2 D
27/09 Dolomiti Bellunesi Home 1–1 D
20/09 Alcione Away 4–0 W
17/09 Treviso Home 2–2 D
13/09 Trento Away 0–0 D

Arzignano Valchiampo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Lumezzane Away 1–1 D
25/10 Novara Home 2–0 W
19/10 Cittadella Away 0–1 L
10/10 Juventus U23 Home 2–1 W
03/10 Pergolettese Home 2–2 D
27/09 Athletic Carpi Away 3–0 W
20/09 Renate Home 2–1 W
17/09 Albinoleffe Away 2–1 W
13/09 Desenzano Calvina Home 1–2 L
06/09 Ospitaletto Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Union Brescia #2 · 25 pts ·  Arzignano Valchiampo #4 · 21 pts

Union Brescia

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–1L
W 7
D 4
L 1
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards25
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Arzignano Valchiampo

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–3L
W 6
D 3
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards15
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/2
Union BresciaArzignano Valchiampo
W 7
D 4
L 1
W 6
D 3
L 3
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.00
Clean sheets
5
4
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
25
15
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Union Brescia

2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Arzignano Valchiampo

1
0-15
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws