Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • 🌧 9.2°C, 0 km/h, 1mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available30.9% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available68.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available48% · No 52% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available59.5% · Over 40.5% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Folgore Caratese 31.7% · Draw 30.9% · Athletic Carpi 37.4%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Folgore Caratese 1.10, Athletic Carpi 1.21, expected total 2.31.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Folgore Caratese: D-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Athletic Carpi: W-W-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Folgore Caratese

Form (last 5)
LDLLL
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1329

Athletic Carpi

Form (last 5)
LDWWL
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1356
Folgore CarateseAthletic Carpi
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.90
Best league winning streak this season
1
2
Elo strength rating
1329
1356

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Folgore Caratese

Winless 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Athletic Carpi

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Folgore Caratese

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Athletic Carpi

Worst defence (1.90 conceded/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Folgore Caratese at home · Athletic Carpi away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Folgore Caratese (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Athletic Carpi (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Folgore Caratese (home)Athletic Carpi (away)
D 1
L 4
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.70
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.54%
0–0
11.29%
2–2
4.38%
3–3
0.65%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Folgore Caratese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Union Brescia Home 0–4 L
25/10 Lecco Away 2–2 D
17/10 Treviso Home 0–2 L
11/10 Trento Away 0–1 L
03/10 Desenzano Calvina Home 1–2 L
26/09 Lumezzane Away 2–1 W
20/09 Giana Erminio Home 1–1 D
17/09 Pergolettese Away 0–0 D
13/09 Alcione Home 2–3 L
07/09 PRO Vercelli Away 0–1 L

Athletic Carpi

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Renate Home 0–5 L
28/10 Ravenna Home 3–3 D
24/10 Alcione Away 2–1 W
17/10 Lumezzane Home 3–1 W
10/10 Pergolettese Away 1–2 L
03/10 PRO Vercelli Away 0–2 L
27/09 Arzignano Valchiampo Home 0–3 L
20/09 Novara Away 2–2 D
17/09 Ospitaletto Home 2–2 D
13/09 Cittadella Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Folgore Caratese #20 · 7 pts ·  Athletic Carpi #14 · 12 pts

Folgore Caratese

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–7L
W 1
D 4
L 7
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards31
Red cards5
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Athletic Carpi

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–6L
W 3
D 3
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards24
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Folgore CarateseAthletic Carpi
W 1
D 4
L 7
W 3
D 3
L 6
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.90
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
31
24
Red cards
5
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Folgore Caratese

1
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
6
76-90
2
scored conceded

Athletic Carpi

3
0-15
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws