Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Giana Erminio vs Cittadella

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola • 🌧 10.2°C, 2 km/h, 0.4mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available28.5% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available68.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available54.6% · No 45.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available51% · Over 49% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Giana Erminio · Home

Giana Erminio have won two of their last five, including home wins over Union Brescia and a 2-1 away success at Desenzano Calvina, but they lost their most recent home match 1-3 to Alcione. They failed to score only once in that run and drew 2-2 at Renate.

Cittadella · Away

Cittadella have won four of their last five, keeping three clean sheets and conceding just three goals, with away wins at Union Brescia and Novara. Their only defeat in that stretch was a 1-2 loss at Union Brescia.

Cittadella edge but draw fits

Cittadella's recent form is stronger, yet both head-to-head meetings finished 0-2 to the away side, including 0-2 on 25 Apr 2026 and 0-2 on 21 Dec 2025. Giana Erminio's home record is mixed, with a 1-3 loss to Alcione and a 2-1 win over Union Brescia. Cittadella's three clean sheets in five suggest a tight contest, and the model gives the draw 28.6% with a 1-1 correct score at 13.7%. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Giana Erminio 1.22 – 1.41 Cittadella · expected total 2.64

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Giana Erminio

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1486

Cittadella

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season7
Elo strength rating1673
Giana ErminioCittadella
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
0.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
7
Elo strength rating
1486
1673

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Giana Erminio

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Cittadella

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Giana Erminio

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Cittadella

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.50 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (7, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Giana Erminio at home · Cittadella away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Giana Erminio (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–3L
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Cittadella (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Giana Erminio (home)Cittadella (away)
W 1
D 2
L 3
W 4
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.60
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.63%
0–0
8.4%
2–2
5.36%
3–3
1.03%
4–4
0.11%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cittadella 1 win · 0 draws · Giana Erminio 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Cittadella 0–2 Giana Erminio Serie C - Girone A
21 Dec 2025 Giana Erminio 0–2 Cittadella Serie C - Girone A

📈 Recent Form

Giana Erminio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Alcione Home 1–3 L
25/10 Desenzano Calvina Away 2–1 W
19/10 Union Brescia Home 2–1 W
11/10 Renate Away 2–2 D
04/10 Treviso Away 0–0 D
26/09 PRO Vercelli Home 1–1 D
20/09 Folgore Caratese Away 1–1 D
17/09 Trento Home 2–2 D
13/09 Lecco Away 0–1 L
06/09 Dolomiti Bellunesi Home 1–2 L

Cittadella

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Treviso Home 1–0 W
28/10 Union Brescia Away 2–1 W
24/10 Union Brescia Away 1–2 L
19/10 Arzignano Valchiampo Home 1–0 W
10/10 Novara Away 2–0 W
03/10 Albinoleffe Home 1–2 L
26/09 Lecco Home 3–0 W
20/09 Ospitaletto Away 1–0 W
17/09 Juventus U23 Home 2–0 W
13/09 Athletic Carpi Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Giana Erminio #15 · 11 pts ·  Cittadella #1 · 30 pts

Giana Erminio

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–5L
W 2
D 5
L 5
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards32
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Cittadella

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–0D–2L
W 10
L 2
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Giana ErminioCittadella
W 2
D 5
L 5
W 10
L 2
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.50
Clean sheets
1
7
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
32
22
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Giana Erminio

1
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Cittadella

0-15
4
3
16-30
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
6
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws