Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • 🌧 9.5°C, 1 km/h, 0.9mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 67.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59% · No 41% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 45.4% · Over 54.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 12.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Desenzano Calvina · Home
Desenzano Calvina have won three of their last five, including a 1-0 victory at Dolomiti Bellunesi and a 2-0 home win over the same opponent. Their two defeats in that run came at home to Giana Erminio and away at Alcione.
Ospitaletto · Away
Ospitaletto have drawn two of their last five, most recently 0-0 at home to Trento, and they failed to score in that match. Their only win in the run was 1-0 away at Treviso.
H2H swings and Ospitaletto draws
Both head-to-head meetings finished 2-1 to the home side, most recently Ospitaletto winning 2-1 on 30 Mar 2025. Ospitaletto have drawn two of their last five, including a 0-0 with Trento and a 1-1 with Renate. Desenzano have no draws in five matches, so the model's 27.2% draw probability rests on Ospitaletto's recent share of stalemates rather than Desenzano's record. The 1-1 correct score at 12.8% is consistent with that pattern. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Desenzano Calvina 1.52 – 1.35 Ospitaletto · expected total 2.87
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Desenzano Calvina
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Desenzano Calvina
Ospitaletto
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A
Desenzano Calvina
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Ospitaletto
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Desenzano Calvina at home · Ospitaletto away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Desenzano Calvina (home)
Ospitaletto (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Desenzano Calvina 1 win · 0 draws · Ospitaletto 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2025 | Ospitaletto | 2–1 | Desenzano Calvina | Serie D - Girone B |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Desenzano Calvina | 2–1 | Ospitaletto | Serie D - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Desenzano Calvina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Giana Erminio | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Alcione | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Folgore Caratese | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Juventus U23 | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 21/09 | Treviso | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/09 | Lecco | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Arzignano Valchiampo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Union Brescia | Away | 0–1 | L |
Ospitaletto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Trento | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | PRO Vercelli | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Pergolettese | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Treviso | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Renate | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Novara | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Cittadella | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/09 | Athletic Carpi | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventus U23 | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Arzignano Valchiampo | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A
Desenzano Calvina #11 · 13 pts · Ospitaletto #5 · 19 pts
Desenzano Calvina
Ospitaletto
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Desenzano Calvina
Ospitaletto
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws