Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Ospitaletto vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 14 • Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni • ☀️ 8.9°C, 5 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available59.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65.7% · No 34.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available69.4% · Under 30.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Ospitaletto · Home

Ospitaletto have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches, with 2 clean sheets in that run and a 0-0 draw against Trento in their latest outing. At home they have produced 1-1 and 2-3 results, and the model gives them 2.32 expected goals here.

Dolomiti Bellunesi · Away

Dolomiti Bellunesi have lost all 5 of their recent matches, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 12, and they failed to score in 4 of those 5 games. Their latest result was a 0-4 home defeat to Lecco.

Ospitaletto's Home Edge

The latest head-to-head is the telling angle: Dolomiti Bellunesi won 4-1 at home on 7 Mar 2026, while Ospitaletto won the two previous meetings 3-1 and 2-3. Dolomiti Bellunesi's current run of 5 straight defeats, with 1 goal scored and 4 matches without a goal, makes an away win hard to support. Ospitaletto's own form is modest, but 2 clean sheets in 5 and a 2.32 model expected goals figure give the home side a realistic route. The evidence supports Ospitaletto win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Ospitaletto 2.32 – 1.27 Dolomiti Bellunesi · expected total 3.60

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ospitaletto

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1446

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1315
OspitalettoDolomiti Bellunesi
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1446
1315

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ospitaletto

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Lost 6 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Ospitaletto

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (33%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Worst attack (0.70 goals/game, season)

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ospitaletto at home · Dolomiti Bellunesi away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Ospitaletto (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–2L
W 3
D 2
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Dolomiti Bellunesi (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Ospitaletto (home)Dolomiti Bellunesi (away)
W 3
D 2
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.20
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.52%
2–0
7.47%
3–1
7.37%
3–0
5.79%
1–0
5.61%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Dolomiti Bellunesi 1 win · 0 draws · Ospitaletto 2 wins · avg 4.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Mar 2026 Dolomiti Bellunesi 4–1 Ospitaletto Serie C - Girone A
03 Nov 2025 Ospitaletto 3–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi Serie C - Girone A
14 May 2025 Dolomiti Bellunesi 2–3 Ospitaletto Serie D - Championship Round

📈 Recent Form

Ospitaletto

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Trento Home 0–0 D
25/10 PRO Vercelli Away 1–2 L
18/10 Pergolettese Home 2–3 L
11/10 Treviso Away 1–0 W
03/10 Renate Home 1–1 D
26/09 Novara Away 2–0 W
20/09 Cittadella Home 0–1 L
17/09 Athletic Carpi Away 2–2 D
13/09 Juventus U23 Home 3–0 W
06/09 Arzignano Valchiampo Home 3–1 W

Dolomiti Bellunesi

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Lecco Home 0–4 L
28/10 Desenzano Calvina Home 0–1 L
24/10 Treviso Away 1–2 L
19/10 Trento Home 0–3 L
10/10 Desenzano Calvina Away 0–2 L
04/10 Novara Home 1–2 L
27/09 Union Brescia Away 1–1 D
21/09 Lumezzane Home 1–2 L
17/09 Renate Away 0–0 D
13/09 Albinoleffe Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Ospitaletto #5 · 19 pts ·  Dolomiti Bellunesi #18 · 10 pts

Ospitaletto

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–3L
W 5
D 4
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–6L
W 2
D 4
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards13
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
OspitalettoDolomiti Bellunesi
W 5
D 4
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 6
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.30
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
2
5
Yellow cards
20
13
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ospitaletto

1
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Dolomiti Bellunesi

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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