Predictions → Italy Serie C - Girone A

Treviso vs Novara

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • 🌧 10.5°C, 3 km/h, 0.2mm rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available52.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.8% · Yes 45.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available58.3% · Over 41.7% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available13.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Treviso 52.6% · Draw 28.3% · Novara 19.1%. Selected outcome: Treviso win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Treviso 1.53, Novara 0.83, expected total 2.35.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Treviso: W-W-L-D-W in their last five matches.
Novara: L-D-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Treviso

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1441

Novara

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1409
TrevisoNovara
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.70
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1441
1409

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Treviso

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Novara

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A

Treviso

3rd best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) Worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Novara

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Treviso at home · Novara away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Treviso (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–1L
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3

Novara (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Treviso (home)Novara (away)
W 3
D 2
L 1
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.20
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
3
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
13.33%
2–0
11.09%
2–1
9.16%
3–0
5.64%
3–1
4.66%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Treviso

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Cittadella Away 0–1 L
24/10 Dolomiti Bellunesi Home 2–1 W
17/10 Folgore Caratese Away 2–0 W
11/10 Ospitaletto Home 0–1 L
04/10 Giana Erminio Home 0–0 D
27/09 Renate Away 1–0 W
21/09 Desenzano Calvina Home 0–0 D
17/09 Union Brescia Away 2–2 D
13/09 PRO Vercelli Home 2–1 W
07/09 Alcione Away 1–1 D

Novara

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25/10 Arzignano Valchiampo Away 0–2 L
18/10 Albinoleffe Away 2–2 D
10/10 Cittadella Home 0–2 L
04/10 Dolomiti Bellunesi Away 2–1 W
26/09 Ospitaletto Home 0–2 L
20/09 Athletic Carpi Home 2–2 D
17/09 Lumezzane Away 0–0 D
13/09 Pergolettese Home 0–1 L
07/09 Renate Away 2–1 W
31/08 Folgore Caratese Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A

Treviso #6 · 19 pts ·  Novara #16 · 10 pts

Treviso

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–3L
W 5
D 4
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards25
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Novara

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–5L
W 2
D 4
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards30
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
TrevisoNovara
W 5
D 4
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 5
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.50
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
25
30
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Treviso

0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
1
76-90
5
scored conceded

Novara

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
46-60
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws