Pergolettese vs Renate
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:30 UTC+3 • Girone A - 13 • Giuseppe Voltini • ⛅ 10.1°C, 2 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.4% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 54.4% · Yes 45.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 58.9% · Over 41.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 13.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Pergolettese · Home
Pergolettese have scored in all five recent matches, including a 2-1 home win over Lumezzane (2-1) and a 3-2 away win at Ospitaletto (3-2), though they also lost 3-2 at Albinoleffe (2-3). Their model expected goals of 1.47 is the higher of the two forecasts.
Renate · Away
Renate's standout recent result was a 5-0 away win at Athletic Carpi (5-0), but they have also drawn three of their last five, including a 0-0 at home to Albinoleffe (0-0) and a 1-1 at Ospitaletto (1-1). Their model expected goals of 0.86 is the lower figure.
Renate's H2H Edge Yet to Hold
Renate have won the latest three head-to-head meetings, including 2-1 at home (2-1) and 1-0 away at Pergolettese (0-1), so the historical record runs against the model. Pergolettese's five-match run of 11 goals scored and none failed to score offers a counterweight, and their 1.47 model expected goals sits above Renate's 0.86. The 1-0 correct score at 13.1% and the Under 2.5 pick at 58.9% both fit a tight home win rather than a repeat of Renate's 5-0. The evidence supports Pergolettese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Pergolettese 1.47 – 0.86 Renate · expected total 2.33
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Pergolettese
Renate
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese
Renate
Rank among 20 Serie C - Girone A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Pergolettese at home · Renate away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Pergolettese (home)
Renate (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Pergolettese 3 wins · 2 draws · Renate 4 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan 2026 | Renate | 2–1 | Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Pergolettese | 0–1 | Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Renate | 2–1 | Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Pergolettese | 0–1 | Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Renate | 1–5 | Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Pergolettese | 0–0 | Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Pergolettese | 3–0 | Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Renate | 0–0 | Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Renate | 1–2 | Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
📈 Recent Form
Pergolettese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Albinoleffe | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Lumezzane | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Ospitaletto | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 10/10 | Athletic Carpi | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Arzignano Valchiampo | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 26/09 | Trento | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/09 | Lecco | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/09 | Folgore Caratese | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Novara | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Juventus U23 | Away | 0–0 | D |
Renate
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Athletic Carpi | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Albinoleffe | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 19/10 | Juventus U23 | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Giana Erminio | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Ospitaletto | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Treviso | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Arzignano Valchiampo | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/09 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Lumezzane | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 07/09 | Novara | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese #10 · 17 pts · Renate #19 · 8 pts
Pergolettese
Renate
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Pergolettese
Renate
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie C - Girone A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws