Norway Eliteserien Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 10 Days β€’ 1 Matches β€’ Round 11 β€’ Updated 58 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Regular Season , Round 11

Wednesday, July 22

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
20:00 WWWLL
Lillestrom Lillestrom vs Viking Viking
WLDWW 80% 48% Home 3.11 β€”

Predictlix Eliteserien Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: July 4, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

Bodo/Glimt's home clash with Fredrikstad stands out with 91% confidence, driven by a massive lambda gap of 2.85 versus 1.23. Viking hosting Sandefjord matches that confidence level, powered by a 3.34 home lambda and a perfect WWWWW form. Molde's 85% home edge over Brann also impresses, but Bodo/Glimt's 68.1% predicted win probability offers the clearest betting edge. Back Bodo/Glimt to win at odds around 1.40 with strong confidence.

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Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Lillestrom versus Viking in Regular Season - 11 shows the highest BTTS probability across the board at 75.8%, supported by lambda values of 2.12 and 2.06. Over 2.5 lands at 77.5% for that clash, while Viking versus Sandefjord pushes 80.6% Over 2.5 with a towering home lambda of 3.34. On the flip side, Start versus Rosenborg leans Under, with Over 2.5 probability at just 68.8% and low attacking outputs. Back Over 2.5 in Viking vs Sandefjord at 80.6% probability β€” strong confidence at 92.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Bodo/Glimt carry a formidable home winning streak, with six consecutive victories at Aspmyra. Molde also impress with four straight wins across all competitions. Start have lost three on the bounce, a worrying trend. Lillestrom's recent form is mixed, but they have scored in five straight matches. Fredrikstad are winless in four, a pattern that raises questions.

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Head-to-Head & Historical Edge

Bodo/Glimt’s historical edge over Ham-Kam is glaring. They have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters, scoring at least two goals in each victory. Clean sheets appeared in three of those wins, suggesting defensive solidity too. Meanwhile, Molde’s record against Brann shows clear dominance. The home side has secured victories in 3 of their last 4 meetings, with two of those wins keeping Brann scoreless. These recurring patterns give a strong statistical foundation to both matchups.

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Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Bodo/Glimt boast the strongest defensive record in the window, consistently keeping clean sheets and conceding very few goals on average. At the other end, Sandefjord and Aalesund appear notably leaky, with high goals-conceded averages and rare clean sheets. Lillestrom and Molde show solid defensive numbers, while Ham-Kam and Kristiansund BK are more vulnerable. Start's backline has been inconsistent, mixing stubborn displays with porous outings.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Bodo/Glimt, sitting top of the table, face Fredrikstad in Regular Season - 14 with the title race heating up. Molde host Brann in a pivotal clash for European qualification spots. At the other end, bottom-placed Aalesund travel to Valerenga fighting relegation. Start welcome Rosenborg needing points to climb away from danger. Lillestrom versus KFUM Oslo carries mid-table positioning weight. Every fixture carries genuine stakes across this Eliteserien window.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Bodo/Glimt against Fredrikstad carries 91% confidence and a 68.1% probability for a home win. Viking hosting Sandefjord matches that 91% confidence with a 67.5% probability, supported by Viking's perfect WWWWW form. Molde versus Brann offers 85% confidence and 57.4% probability. These three home wins form a solid accumulator. Bet on Bodo/Glimt, Viking, and Molde all to win at odds reflecting their strong PredictLix edges.

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AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.

31 matches analysed Updated Jul 18, 2026
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
54.8% 17/31
⚽ Both Teams to Score
61.3% 19/31
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
71.0% 22/31
πŸ”’ Correct Score
19.4% 6/31
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
74.2% 23/31
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
55.6% 15/27
🀝 Draw Predictions
35.7% 5/14

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season , Round 14

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
16/07 20:00 LWLDW
Valerenga Valerenga vs Aalesund Aalesund
DWDDW 82% 51.9% Home βœ… @1.71 6 – 1 FT
17/07 20:15 WWWDW
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
LLDDW 92% 71.9% Home βœ… @1.14 1 – 0 FT
18/07 15:00 DWDDW
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam vs Tromso Tromso
WWDDL 67% 21.9% Draw ❌ @3.18 1 – 4 FT
18/07 17:00 LWLLL
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLWWL 68% 24% Draw βœ… @3.74 0 – 0 FT
18/07 17:00 WWWLL
Lillestrom Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
LLLDW 89% 64.8% Home βœ… @1.64 2 – 1 FT
18/07 17:00 LLLWL
Start Start vs Rosenborg Rosenborg
WWDLL 71% 30.1% Draw ❌ @3.63 0 – 3 FT
18/07 19:00 DLLWW
Molde Molde vs Brann Brann
WLWLL 84% 54.3% Home ❌ @2.10 1 – 2 FT
18/07 19:00 WLDWW
Viking Viking vs Sandefjord Sandefjord
DLDLW 91% 67.4% Home βœ… @1.26 2 – 1 FT