Our model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC win a 92% confidence rating
Saudi Arabia Pro League Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 9 Matches β’ Round 9 β’ Updated 16 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 9
Thursday, October 15
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:40 | LDDLD |
Al-Faisaly FC
vs
Al Kholood
|
LWDWD | 77% | 37% | Away | N/A | β |
| 17:50 | DDDLL |
Al Khaleej Saihat
vs
Al-Fayha
|
DLDWD | 79% | 42.3% | Home | 2.13 | β |
| 18:15 | DLWDD |
Al-Hazm
vs
Al-Fateh
|
LLDDD | 76% | 34.7% | Home | 2.77 | β |
| 21:00 | LDWLW |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Al-Nassr
|
LDWLW | 76% | 36.3% | Away | 2.11 | β |
Friday, October 16
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:15 | WDWWW |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Abha
|
DLLLD | 92% | 91.9% | Home | 1.16 | β |
| 18:00 | WDLWD |
Al Riyadh
vs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
WWWLW | 92% | 87.3% | Away | 1.14 | β |
| 21:00 | LDWWW |
Al-Ittihad FC
vs
Al Shabab
|
DLLDD | 84% | 57.3% | Home | 1.95 | β |
Saturday, October 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:40 | DWWWL |
NEOM
vs
Al-Ettifaq
|
DDDWL | 82% | 51.1% | Home | 1.98 | β |
| 21:00 | DWLWD |
Al Diriyah
vs
Al Taawon
|
DLLDL | 82% | 50.7% | Home | 2.12 | β |
Top Trends from Pro League Teams
Our model gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC win a 92% confidence rating
Al Khaleej Saihat have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Al-Fateh have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Abha have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Al-Ittihad FC are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Al Taawon have achieved just 1 wins
Predictlix Pro League Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Al-Qadisiyah FC's trip to Al Kholood carries the strongest signal, with the PredictLix model posting 81.7% on the away win at 92 confidence, the highest probability in this window. Al-Nassr and Al-Ittihad FC also rate highly, both at 92 confidence, though Al-Nassr's home edge over Al Diriyah sits at 75.1%. Al-Fateh versus Al-Ahli Jeddah looks tighter, with the visitors favoured at 64.9%. Back Al-Nassr to win at 1.44, where the model's 75.1% against an implied 68.3% gives a +6.8pp edge.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah stands out as the clearest Over lean, with the PredictLix model favouring Over 2.5 at 63.7% and a home attack of 2.7399 goals. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC also points Over at 58.5%, driven by a 2.6088 home figure. By contrast, Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC leans Under at 54.2%, with both attacks muted at 1.1104 and 0.8486. Best value: Over 2.5 in Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah at 1.45.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Al-Fateh's winless run stands out starkly, with the side failing to win any of their last 10 matches. Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive on a five-match winning sequence, while Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Qadisiyah FC each carry four-game streaks. At the other end, Al-Faisaly FC, Al Taawon and Abha remain winless across their recent form lines. Note that Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon carries partial data, so its streaks rest on a shorter sample.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC anchor the defensive elite, with the former conceding just 0.7 goals per game and keeping 4 clean sheets, while the latter sits on 0.7 conceded and 3 shutouts. Al-Nassr's back line is similarly mean at 0.9 conceded. By contrast, Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fateh leak badly at 2.3 and 1.9 conceded respectively, and Abha's 1.7 conceded underlines their relegation-zone struggles.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC sit first and second, both chasing Champions League spots in Regular Season - 8 and 9. Al-Nassr and Al-Qadisiyah FC also occupy Champions League places with 16 points apiece. Down at the bottom, Abha, Al-Faisaly FC and Al Taawon are all in the relegation zone and must win. Al-Fateh, Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Shabab are fighting a relegation battle needing points.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Al-Nassr anchor the headline treble, with the PredictLix model pricing their home clash against Al Diriyah at 1.44 after a 75.1% win probability. Two away legs complete the slip: Al-Ahli Jeddah at Al-Fateh, priced 1.47, and Al-Qadisiyah FC travelling to Al Kholood at 1.53. Combined odds for all three legs come to 3.24. Back this treble at 3.24 with confidence, given each leg carries a confidence rating of 86 or higher.
Model vs Market β Value Edges
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 75.1% against an implied 68.3%, a +6.8pp edge at odds of 1.44. Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat also qualifies, with the model at 52.4% versus 47.9% implied, a +4.5pp edge at 2.01. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed winner in this specific match. Back Al-Nassr at 1.44 with 91 confidence as the strongest value play.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% | 65.7% | 100.0% | 4 |
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 47.5% | 25.0% | 4 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 51.9% | 25.0% | 8 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 51.8% | 57.1% | 7 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 63.7% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 8 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 69.3% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 75.4% | 100.0% | 6 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 54.9% | 25.0% | 8 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 16:40 | DLDWD |
Al-Fayha
vs
Al Riyadh
|
WDLWD | 79% | 43.7% | Home β | @2.25 | 1 β 1 FT |
| 11/10 21:00 | DLLDD |
Al Shabab
vs
Al Taawon
|
DLLDL | 78% | 41.9% | Home β | N/A | 3 β 0 FT |