Saudi Arabia Pro League Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 9 β€’ Updated 16 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Value bets in Pro League: 1 bets Β· 0% win Β· profit $-52.46 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 9

Thursday, October 15

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
16:40 LDDLD
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood Al Kholood
LWDWD 77% 37% Away N/A β€”
17:50 DDDLL
Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
DLDWD 79% 42.3% Home 2.13 β€”
18:15 DLWDD
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
LLDDD 76% 34.7% Home 2.77 β€”
21:00 LDWLW
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
LDWLW 76% 36.3% Away 2.11 β€”

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
16:15 WDWWW
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha Abha
DLLLD 92% 91.9% Home 1.16 β€”
18:00 WDLWD
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
WWWLW 92% 87.3% Away 1.14 β€”
21:00 LDWWW
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab Al Shabab
DLLDD 84% 57.3% Home 1.95 β€”

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
18:40 DWWWL
NEOM NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
DDDWL 82% 51.1% Home 1.98 β€”
21:00 DWLWD
Al Diriyah Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon Al Taawon
DLLDL 82% 50.7% Home 2.12 β€”

Predictlix Pro League Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Al-Qadisiyah FC's trip to Al Kholood carries the strongest signal, with the PredictLix model posting 81.7% on the away win at 92 confidence, the highest probability in this window. Al-Nassr and Al-Ittihad FC also rate highly, both at 92 confidence, though Al-Nassr's home edge over Al Diriyah sits at 75.1%. Al-Fateh versus Al-Ahli Jeddah looks tighter, with the visitors favoured at 64.9%. Back Al-Nassr to win at 1.44, where the model's 75.1% against an implied 68.3% gives a +6.8pp edge.

⚽

Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah stands out as the clearest Over lean, with the PredictLix model favouring Over 2.5 at 63.7% and a home attack of 2.7399 goals. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC also points Over at 58.5%, driven by a 2.6088 home figure. By contrast, Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC leans Under at 54.2%, with both attacks muted at 1.1104 and 0.8486. Best value: Over 2.5 in Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah at 1.45.

πŸ”₯

Streak & Momentum Signals

Al-Fateh's winless run stands out starkly, with the side failing to win any of their last 10 matches. Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive on a five-match winning sequence, while Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Qadisiyah FC each carry four-game streaks. At the other end, Al-Faisaly FC, Al Taawon and Abha remain winless across their recent form lines. Note that Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon carries partial data, so its streaks rest on a shorter sample.

🧱

Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC anchor the defensive elite, with the former conceding just 0.7 goals per game and keeping 4 clean sheets, while the latter sits on 0.7 conceded and 3 shutouts. Al-Nassr's back line is similarly mean at 0.9 conceded. By contrast, Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fateh leak badly at 2.3 and 1.9 conceded respectively, and Abha's 1.7 conceded underlines their relegation-zone struggles.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC sit first and second, both chasing Champions League spots in Regular Season - 8 and 9. Al-Nassr and Al-Qadisiyah FC also occupy Champions League places with 16 points apiece. Down at the bottom, Abha, Al-Faisaly FC and Al Taawon are all in the relegation zone and must win. Al-Fateh, Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Shabab are fighting a relegation battle needing points.

πŸ’°

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Al-Nassr anchor the headline treble, with the PredictLix model pricing their home clash against Al Diriyah at 1.44 after a 75.1% win probability. Two away legs complete the slip: Al-Ahli Jeddah at Al-Fateh, priced 1.47, and Al-Qadisiyah FC travelling to Al Kholood at 1.53. Combined odds for all three legs come to 3.24. Back this treble at 3.24 with confidence, given each leg carries a confidence rating of 86 or higher.

βš–οΈ

Model vs Market β€” Value Edges

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 75.1% against an implied 68.3%, a +6.8pp edge at odds of 1.44. Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat also qualifies, with the model at 52.4% versus 47.9% implied, a +4.5pp edge at 2.01. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed winner in this specific match. Back Al-Nassr at 1.44 with 91 confidence as the strongest value play.

πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
25.0% 2/8
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
62.5% 5/8
πŸ”’ Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
25.0% 2/8

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 25.0% 2/8
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 62.5% 5/8
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 65.7% 100.0% 4
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 47.5% 25.0% 4
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 51.9% 25.0% 8
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 51.8% 57.1% 7
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 63.7% 100.0% 1
Correct Score Β· <60% 7.3% 0.0% 8
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 69.3% 50.0% 2
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.4% 100.0% 6
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.9% 25.0% 8

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
11/10 16:40 DLDWD
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WDLWD 79% 43.7% Home ❌ @2.25 1 – 1 FT
11/10 21:00 DLLDD
Al Shabab Al Shabab vs Al Taawon Al Taawon
DLLDL 78% 41.9% Home βœ… N/A 3 – 0 FT