Our model gives Daejeon Citizen win a 92% confidence rating
South Korea K League 1 Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 6 Matches β’ Round 32 β’ Updated 17 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 32
Saturday, October 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | LWWDW |
Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Bucheon FC 1995
|
LLDLL | 88% | 67.8% | Home | 1.70 | β |
Sunday, October 18
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | WDWDW |
Daejeon Citizen
vs
Gwangju FC
|
DDLDL | 92% | 76.3% | Home | 1.41 | β |
| 08:00 | LDWLD |
Jeonbuk Motors
vs
Jeju United FC
|
LWDWD | 80% | 45% | Home | 2.02 | β |
| 10:30 | WDLDD |
Gangwon FC
vs
Incheon United
|
WDDLW | 80% | 45.5% | Home | 2.24 | β |
| 10:30 | LWLDD |
Pohang Steelers
vs
FC Anyang
|
WWDLL | 79% | 43.6% | Home | 2.10 | β |
| 10:30 | WLLWL |
FC Seoul
vs
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
LWDDD | 87% | 65.7% | Home | 1.64 | β |
Top Trends from K League 1 Teams
Our model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC win a 88% confidence rating
Our model gives FC Seoul win a 87% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, Gwangju FC have achieved just 1 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Gimcheon Sangmu FC have achieved just 1 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Bucheon FC 1995 have achieved just 2 wins
Gangwon FC are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Predictlix K League 1 Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Ulsan Hyundai FC versus Bucheon FC 1995 carries the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model assigning a 77.5% probability and 92 confidence to a home win. That gap is stark: Ulsan sit second on 47 points while Bucheon occupy a relegation zone place on 32. FC Seoul against Gimcheon Sangmu FC also stands out at 59.3% with 85 confidence. Back Ulsan at home, and consider the Seoul, Gwangju and Gangwon acca at combined odds of 5.22.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Gangwon FC vs Incheon United stands out as the clearest Under lean, with the PredictLix model reading Under 2.5 at 56.4% and BTTS No at 53%, backed by home and away attacking numbers of 1.2986 and 0.7527. Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers tilts the other way, Over 2.5 at 53.1% behind a 1.9334 home figure. For a concrete angle, Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 pairs Under 2.5 at 57.3% with odds of 1.71, a solid low-scoring play.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC share the window's longest winless troubles, each managing just 1 win across their 10 most recent matches. Incheon United sit marginally better with 2 victories in the same span. At the other end, Gangwon FC are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches, while Jeju United FC match that same 8-of-10 unbeaten record. Full data coverage applies here, so these streaks rest on complete samples rather than early-season noise.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Gwangju FC's defensive numbers stand out for the wrong reasons, conceding 2.1 goals per game with only 4 clean sheets across 30 matches. At the other end, Gangwon FC and FC Seoul both recorded 13 clean sheets, while Ulsan Hyundai FC matched that tally and conceded just 0.8 per outing. Bucheon FC 1995 shipped 1.6 goals per game, and Incheon United's 3 clean sheets highlight a leaky backline.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
FC Seoul sit top on 62 points chasing a Champions League spot, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC arrive 10th and deep in the RELEGATION ZONE, needing wins urgently. Down at the bottom, Gwangju FC prop up the table on 15 points with a goal difference of -42, still hunting survival in Regular Season - 32 and 33. Jeonbuk Motors, fourth on 44 points, host Jeju United FC, third on 46, in a genuine Champions League spot clash. Nobody here can relax, since every side still has something riding on these contests.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
FC Seoul anchor the headline treble, with the PredictLix model rating their home tie against Jeju United FC at 85 confidence and 1.65 odds. Ulsan Hyundai FC's trip to Gwangju FC carries 84 confidence at 1.73, while Gangwon FC's meeting with Bucheon FC 1995 sits at 83 confidence and 1.83. Combined, these three legs price at 5.22. Backing that treble is the sharpest play on this card.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 43.1% | 66.7% | 6 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 51.0% | 66.7% | 6 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 51.4% | 33.3% | 6 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 6 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 67.0% | 100.0% | 2 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 73.3% | 75.0% | 4 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 54.3% | 83.3% | 6 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 2 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 31
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 08:00 | WDWDW |
Daejeon Citizen
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
|
LDWLD | 76% | 34.4% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
| 09/10 10:30 | WDLDD |
Gangwon FC
vs
Bucheon FC 1995
|
LLDLL | 84% | 57.5% | Home β | @1.73 | 2 β 0 FT |
| 09/10 10:30 | WDDLW |
Incheon United
vs
Pohang Steelers
|
LWLDD | 75% | 33.1% | Home β | @2.53 | 3 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 08:00 | WLLWL |
FC Seoul
vs
Jeju United FC
|
LWDWD | 80% | 45.4% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
| 10/10 10:30 | LWDDD |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
vs
FC Anyang
|
WWDLL | 79% | 42.7% | Home β | @2.24 | 0 β 1 FT |
| 11/10 08:00 | DDLDL |
Gwangju FC
vs
Ulsan Hyundai FC
|
LWWDW | 80% | 45.7% | Away β | N/A | 4 β 3 FT |