Our model gives FC Lugano win a 91% confidence rating
Switzerland Super League Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 6 Matches β’ Round 11 β’ Updated 16 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 11
Saturday, October 24
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | WWDWD |
FC Zurich
vs
FC Luzern
|
LLWLD | 87% | 64% | Home | N/A | β |
| 19:00 | WLLWW |
Servette FC
vs
FC Vaduz
|
LLWLW | 85% | 58.5% | Home | N/A | β |
| 21:30 | WDDWD |
BSC Young Boys
vs
FC ST. Gallen
|
WWWDW | 84% | 58% | Home | N/A | β |
Sunday, October 25
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | LWWLL |
FC Thun
vs
FC Lugano
|
WLWWD | 82% | 51.3% | Away | N/A | β |
| 18:30 | LWLLD |
FC Basel 1893
vs
Grasshoppers
|
LLWDW | 83% | 53.4% | Home | N/A | β |
| 18:30 | LLLDW |
FC Sion
vs
Lausanne
|
LLLDL | 90% | 72.6% | Home | N/A | β |
Top Trends from Super League Teams
Our model gives FC Sion win a 90% confidence rating
Our model gives BSC Young Boys win a 88% confidence rating
Our model gives FC Zurich win a 87% confidence rating
FC ST. Gallen are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, FC Vaduz have achieved just 2 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Lausanne have achieved just 2 wins
Predictlix Super League Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
FC Sion vs Lausanne carries the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 82.5% probability and 92 confidence. That gap traces directly to the attacking split, where Sion's home lambda of 2.2209 dwarfs Lausanne's away figure of 0.5569. Elsewhere, BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen shows 58.9% at 85 confidence, while FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers sits at 56.6% with 84 confidence. Back Sion to win at home.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
BSC Young Boys against FC ST. Gallen carries the window's strongest Over lean, with the PredictLix model reading 63.7% for Over 2.5 and home and away attacking figures of 2.5057 and 1.601. FC Zurich versus FC Luzern also tilts Over at 59.2%, while FC Sion versus Lausanne sits closest to the Unders at 49.3%, reflecting Lausanne's weak 0.5569 away figure. Best takeaway: Over 2.5 in BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen, given 85 confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
BSC Young Boys arrive unbeaten in their last 10 matches, the longest active streak in this window. FC Vaduz and Lausanne have each managed just 2 wins across their 10 most recent outings, a shared struggle that leaves both in the RELEGATION ZONE. FC Luzern's road form offers another clear pattern, with only 1 victory from their last 5 away contests. Full data coverage applies here, so these samples reflect genuine form rather than early-season noise.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
FC Lugano's defensive record stands out sharply, conceding just 0.8 goals per game with 3 clean sheets across 9 outings. At the other end, Lausanne leak 2.7 per match and have kept only 2 clean sheets. FC Sion concede 1.4 and Grasshoppers 1.6, both reasonably tidy. FC Zurich ship 2.2 without a single clean sheet, while FC Thun and FC Luzern each concede 2. Basel, Vaduz and Servette sit mid-range, though Vaduz's 1.7 conceded average masks a winless run of 2 wins in 10.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
FC Lugano lead the Regular Season table on 25 points, yet their trip to FC Thun carries real weight for both ends of the standings. FC Zurich and Servette FC sit seventh and eighth, each scrapping in a relegation battle that demands points. Meanwhile Lausanne, bottom on 6 points, must win away at FC Sion, while Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz share the same relegation-zone urgency. Nothing here qualifies as a dead rubber, with European spots and survival alike still live.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
FC Sion carry the window's sharpest edge, with the PredictLix model rating their home clash against Lausanne at 82.5% and 92 confidence. Yet the acca suggestion is blunt: there are not enough priced high-confidence legs with real odds, so no accumulator can be built honestly here. Instead, one single stands out. Back FC Sion to win, the strongest probability in this round.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 44.8% | 75.0% | 4 |
| Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% | 74.2% | 100.0% | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 55.4% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% | 60.6% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 54.8% | 33.3% | 3 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 61.6% | 100.0% | 3 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 6 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 72.9% | 100.0% | 4 |
| Double Chance Β· 80+% | 83.6% | 100.0% | 2 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 54.3% | 83.3% | 6 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 1 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 15:00 | LLWDW |
Grasshoppers
vs
BSC Young Boys
|
WDDWD | 79% | 44.7% | Away β | N/A | 0 β 2 FT |
| 11/10 17:30 | WWWDW |
FC ST. Gallen
vs
Lausanne
|
LLLDL | 92% | 77.8% | Home β | N/A | 1 β 0 FT |
| 11/10 17:30 | LLWLW |
FC Vaduz
vs
FC Basel 1893
|
LWLLD | 80% | 45% | Home β | N/A | 3 β 0 FT |