In their 10 most recent matches, Tanzania Prisons have achieved just 1 wins
No Upcoming Matches
There are no upcoming Ligi kuu Bara matches in the next 10 days.
Top Trends from Ligi kuu Bara Teams
Polisi Tanzania have won just 0 of their last 5 away matches
Mbeya Kwanza have won just 1 of their last 5 away matches
Predictlix Ligi kuu Bara Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: July 4, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Tanzania Prisons versus Mbeya City in these Semi-finals carries the strongest predicted outcome signal at 80% confidence. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine highlights a home lambda of 1.4567 against an away lambda of 0.9915, a clear attacking edge. The home side's recent form reads WWLWW, contrasting with Mbeya City's inconsistent DDWLW. This is a knockout tie with no dead rubber. Back Tanzania Prisons to win, with the 1-0 correct score offering value at 12.6% probability.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Polisi Tanzania's semi-final clash with Mbeya Kwanza is a strong Under candidate. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine signals a 64.8% probability for Under 2.5 goals, backed by 89% confidence. Both teams struggle to score consistently. The BTTS 'No' call carries 86% confidence, while low lambda values (1.19 home, 0.92 away) reinforce a low-scoring affair. Back Under 2.5 goals here with high confidence.
Tanzania Prisons face Mbeya City in another semi-final that leans Under. The PredictLix model assigns 84% confidence to Under 2.5 goals at a 55.8% probability. Defensive solidity is expected, with BTTS 'No' showing 82% confidence. Home lambda of 1.46 is modest, and away lambda sits below one. Trust the Under 2.5 market in this tie as a solid betting angle.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Mbeya Kwanza arrive on a worrying five-match winless run, with three defeats in their last four outings. Polisi Tanzania counter with strong home form, having lost only once in their previous six at their own ground. Tanzania Prisons enter their semi-final on a three-game unbeaten streak, keeping clean sheets in two of those. Conversely, Mbeya City have lost three of their last five matches, a troubling pattern ahead of this crucial knockout tie.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2025/26
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Semi-finals
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 16:00 | LLWWL |
Polisi Tanzania
vs
Mbeya Kwanza
|
DLLWL | 77% | 42.1% | Home β | N/A | 3 β 1 FT |
| 05/07 16:00 | WWLWW |
Tanzania Prisons
vs
Mbeya City
|
DDWLW | 80% | 47.8% | Home β | @3.38 | 0 β 2 FT |
