Vietnam V.League 1 Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 7 Matches • Round 4 • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 4

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
13:00 WLLWL
Thanh Hóa Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh Nam Dinh
DLWLD 80% 44.8% Home N/A —
14:00 LWLWD
Da Nang Da Nang vs Hai Phong Hai Phong
LLWLD 78% 40.4% Home N/A —
14:00 WWLLD
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An
DWWWL 74% 30.5% Away N/A —

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
14:00 LWWLW
Bắc Ninh Bắc Ninh vs Bình Phước Bình Phước
LLLLW 86% 61.2% Home N/A —
14:00 DWWLW
Phu Dong Phu Dong vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai
WLLLL 92% 76.4% Home N/A —
15:15 WLWWW
Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân vs Ha Noi Ha Noi
WLLDL 89% 70.8% Home N/A —

Monday, October 19

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
14:00 DDLWL
Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh vs Viettel Viettel
LDLWL 75% 32% Home N/A —

Predictlix V.League 1 Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 13, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

Công An Nhân Dân carry the sharpest home edge in this window, with a 91 confidence rating and 73.9% probability against Thanh Hóa, driven by home and away attacking rates of 2.4629 and 1.0393. Phu Dong's clash with Ho Chi Minh tops the card at 76.4%, the highest model probability here. Elsewhere, Viettel's 81 confidence and 49.1% lean rests on a 1.1201 versus 0.5184 split. Back Công An Nhân Dân at home, medium stakes, given early-season caution.

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Model Track Record in This League

Transparency matters more than marketing, so here are the real settled numbers from this league. Across 21 settled matches, the PredictLix model's match winner accuracy stands at 38.1% correct (8/21), while BTTS landed at 47.6% correct (10/21). Over/Under 2.5 sits at 52.4% correct (11/21), and correct score is just 4.8% correct (1/21). Double chance reached 81% correct (17/21), though draw picks returned 0% correct (0/10). High-confidence picks hit 47.6% correct (n=63); medium-confidence managed 32.7% correct (n=52).

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Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

Công An Nhân Dân versus Thanh Hóa leans Over 2.5 at 55.5%, driven by a home lambda of 2.4629 against a visiting defence conceding 1.7 goals per game. Phu Dong against Ho Chi Minh carries the window's strongest Over indicator at 55.3%, with BTTS Yes at 56%. By contrast Viettel versus Bắc Ninh tilts firmly Under 2.5 at 59.2%, reflecting an away lambda of just 0.5184. Back Under 2.5 in that contest at 59.2% confidence for the safest goals play.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Bình Phước arrive on a run of 4 consecutive defeats, the longest losing sequence in this window. Công An Nhân Dân sit top with three straight victories, while Phu Dong and Song Lam Nghe An each carry a draw-then-two-wins pattern. Nam Dinh and Hai Phong have managed just 2 wins from their 10 most recent matches. Note that teams have played at most 3 rounds, so these streaks rest on short samples.

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Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Công An Nhân Dân stand out defensively with 3 clean sheets and just 0 conceded per game. Phu Dong also look tidy at the back with 0.7 conceded per game and 1 clean sheet. By contrast, Thanh Hóa and Bình Phước both leak 2.3 goals per game, while Ha Noi ship 2.0 and Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2.3. Bắc Ninh, Hai Phong and Viettel sit mid-range on 1.3, and Song Lam Nghe An concede 1.0.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Công An Nhân Dân sit top on 9 points with a perfect WWW run, yet the snapshot stresses that every position is not yet meaningful given only 3 rounds played. Bình Phước remain bottom on 0 points and a GD of -6, still chasing a first win after 4 consecutive defeats. Viettel against Bắc Ninh is a mid-table Regular Season - 5 contest between 9th and 10th, both on 3 points. At the other end, Phu Dong and Song Lam Nghe An are level on 7 points.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

No accumulator can be offered here, because the snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs (confidence of 70 or above with real odds) across these twenty fixtures. Rather than force a false combination, the PredictLix model flags one standout single: Công An Nhân Dân to beat Thanh Hóa at 91 confidence, with a 73.9% predicted-outcome probability. Back that home win alone and treat the acca card as unavailable this window.

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Head-to-Head & Historical Edge

Da Nang versus Ha Noi stands out historically, with Ha Noi winning 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides. That is a commanding head-to-head record. Meanwhile, the trend engine also flags Thanh Hóa, whose recent meetings with Nam Dinh have yielded just 2 wins in their 10 most recent matches. Both patterns suggest genuine historical edges rather than noise.

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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2027/28

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

21 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
38.1% 8/21
⚽ Both Teams to Score
47.6% 10/21
📈 Over / Under 2.5
52.4% 11/21
🔢 Correct Score
4.8% 1/21
🛡️ Double Chance
81.0% 17/21
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/10

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 28.6% 2/7
⚽ Both Teams to Score 42.9% 3/7
📈 Over / Under 2.5 28.6% 2/7
🛡️ Double Chance 57.1% 4/7

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 42.4% 36.8% 19
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 62.7% 50.0% 2
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.3% 38.9% 18
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 61.0% 100.0% 3
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 54.2% 55.0% 20
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 60.5% 0.0% 1
Correct Score · <60% 11.0% 4.8% 21
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.3% 81.3% 16
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.4% 100.0% 3
Double Chance · 80+% 83.8% 50.0% 2
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.6% 0.0% 10

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 3

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
08/10 15:15 LDLWL
Viettel Viettel vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
WWLLD 85% 60.7% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 3 FT
10/10 13:00 WLLLL
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Da Nang Da Nang
LWLWD 74% 29.2% Away ❌ N/A 3 – 0 FT
10/10 14:00 LLWLD
Hai Phong Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa Thanh Hóa
WLLWL 82% 52.6% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 2 FT
10/10 14:00 DLWLD
Nam Dinh Nam Dinh vs Phu Dong Phu Dong
DWWLW 77% 36.9% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
11/10 14:00 DWWWL
Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh
DDLWL 80% 46.8% Home ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
11/10 15:15 WLLDL
Ha Noi Ha Noi vs Bắc Ninh Bắc Ninh
LWWLW 76% 35.8% Home ✅ N/A 1 – 0 FT