Argentina vs Uruguay
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Friendly International • Estadio Alberto J. Armando • ⛅ 27.2°C, 11 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 65.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 85.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.1% · No 39.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.4% · Under 33.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 53.9% · Over 46.1% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Argentina 65.3% · Draw 20.0% · Uruguay 14.7%. Selected outcome: Argentina win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Argentina 2.38, Uruguay 1.06, expected total 3.44.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Argentina: W-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Uruguay: W-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Uruguay 0–1 Argentina, 22 Mar 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Argentina
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Argentina
Uruguay
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Friendlies
Argentina
Uruguay
Rank among 91 Friendlies teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Argentina at home · Uruguay away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Argentina (home)
Uruguay (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Argentina 6 wins · 2 draws · Uruguay 1 win · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 1 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | Uruguay | 0–1 | Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 17 Nov 2023 | Argentina | 0–2 | Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Uruguay | 0–1 | Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 11 Oct 2021 | Argentina | 3–0 | Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 19 Jun 2021 | Argentina | 1–0 | Uruguay | Copa America |
| 18 Nov 2019 | Argentina | 2–2 | Uruguay | Friendlies |
| 01 Sep 2017 | Uruguay | 0–0 | Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 02 Sep 2016 | Argentina | 1–0 | Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 17 Jun 2015 | Argentina | 1–0 | Uruguay | Copa America |
📈 Recent Form
Argentina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Benin | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Burkina Faso | Home | 7–0 | W |
| 01/10 | Bolivia | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 15/07 | England | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 07/07 | Egypt | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 28/06 | Jordan | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 22/06 | Austria | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/06 | Algeria | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 10/06 | Iceland | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 07/06 | Honduras | Home | 2–0 | W |
Uruguay
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | India | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 28/09 | South Korea | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 24/09 | Japan | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/06 | Spain | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 22/06 | Cape Verde Islands | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 16/06 | Saudi Arabia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 31/03 | Algeria | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 27/03 | England | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/11 | USA | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 16/11 | Mexico | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies
Argentina
Uruguay
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Argentina
Uruguay
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws