Predictions → World Friendlies

Peru vs Bolivia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Friendly International • Estadio Monumental • ⛅ 25.4°C, 14 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.5% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available72.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available56.2% · No 43.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available52.1% · Under 47.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.3% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available58.8% · Over 41.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Peru 45.5% · Draw 27.3% · Bolivia 27.2%. Selected outcome: Peru win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Peru 1.58, Bolivia 1.18, expected total 2.76.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Peru: L-L-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Bolivia: L-W-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Peru 2–0 Bolivia, 21 Dec 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Peru

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1297

Bolivia

Form (last 5)
LWWLD
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1299
PeruBolivia
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
2.30
Best league winning streak this season
1
1
Elo strength rating
1297
1299

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Peru

Lost 2 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Bolivia

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Peru at home · Bolivia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Peru (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–1L
D 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Bolivia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Peru (home)Bolivia (away)
D 1
L 1
L 1
Played
2
1
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
4.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.35%
1–0
8.83%
2–0
7.93%
3–1
4.94%
3–0
4.19%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bolivia 3 wins · 0 draws · Peru 7 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

3
7
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Dec 2025 Peru 2–0 Bolivia Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 Peru 3–1 Bolivia World Cup - Qualification South America
16 Nov 2023 Bolivia 2–0 Peru World Cup - Qualification South America
20 Nov 2022 Peru 1–0 Bolivia Friendlies
12 Nov 2021 Peru 3–0 Bolivia World Cup - Qualification South America
10 Oct 2021 Bolivia 1–0 Peru World Cup - Qualification South America
19 Jun 2019 Bolivia 1–3 Peru Copa America
01 Sep 2017 Peru 2–1 Bolivia World Cup - Qualification South America
01 Sep 2016 Bolivia 2–0 Peru World Cup - Qualification South America
26 Jun 2015 Bolivia 1–3 Peru Copa America

📈 Recent Form

Peru

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Colombia Away 0–2 L
03/10 Canada Away 0–2 L
30/09 Mexico Away 1–1 D
26/09 USA Away 1–4 L
09/06 Spain Home 1–3 L
06/06 Haiti Away 2–1 W
31/03 Honduras Home 2–2 D
28/03 Senegal Away 0–2 L
21/12 Bolivia Home 2–0 W
18/11 Chile Away 1–2 L

Bolivia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/04 — Away 1–2 L
27/03 — Home 2–1 W
15/03 — Home 3–0 W
25/01 — Home 0–1 L
19/01 — Home 1–1 D
21/12 — Away 0–2 L
18/11 — Away 0–3 L
14/11 — Away 0–2 L
14/10 — Away 0–3 L
10/10 — Home 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies

Peru

Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards1
Corners for (avg)3.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Bolivia

Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score5
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
PeruBolivia
Played
8
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
2.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
3
5
Yellow cards
19
10
Red cards
1
1
Corners for (avg)
3.90
4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Peru

2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Bolivia

2
0-15
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws