Colombia vs Chile
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Friendly International • 🌦 30°C, 6 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 77.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 45.9% · Yes 54.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.8% · Over 51.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 9.8% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.5% · Over 41.5% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Colombia 50.5% · Draw 26.7% · Chile 22.8%. Selected outcome: Colombia win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Colombia 1.67, Chile 1.06, expected total 2.73.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Colombia: W-L-D-W-D in their last five matches.
Chile: W-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Colombia 4–0 Chile, 15 Oct 2024.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Colombia
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Colombia
Chile
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Friendlies
Colombia
Chile
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 91 Friendlies teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Colombia at home · Chile away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Colombia (home)
Chile (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chile 1 win · 5 draws · Colombia 2 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2024 | Colombia | 4–0 | Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 13 Sep 2023 | Chile | 0–0 | Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 10 Sep 2021 | Colombia | 3–1 | Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 14 Oct 2020 | Chile | 2–2 | Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 12 Oct 2019 | Colombia | 0–0 | Chile | Friendlies |
| 10 Nov 2016 | Colombia | 0–0 | Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 23 Jun 2016 | Colombia | 0–2 | Chile | Copa America |
| 13 Nov 2015 | Chile | 1–1 | Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
📈 Recent Form
Colombia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Peru | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Paraguay | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Mexico | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/07 | Ghana | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 28/06 | Portugal | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 24/06 | Congo DR | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 18/06 | Uzbekistan | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 08/06 | Jordan | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 02/06 | Costa Rica | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/03 | France | Home | 1–3 | L |
Chile
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mexico | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 30/09 | USA | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Canada | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 09/06 | Congo DR | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/06 | Portugal | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 30/03 | New Zealand | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 27/03 | Cape Verde Islands | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 18/11 | Peru | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 15/11 | Russia | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Peru | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies
Colombia
Chile
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Colombia
Chile
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws