Ecuador vs Costa Rica
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Friendly International • 🌦 16°C, 7 km/h, 1.3mm showers
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 62% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.9% · No 33.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 71.9% · Under 28.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.3% · Under 45.7% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Ecuador 62.0% · Draw 20.0% · Costa Rica 18.0%. Selected outcome: Ecuador win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Ecuador 2.46, Costa Rica 1.29, expected total 3.75.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Ecuador: D-L-L-W-D in their last five matches.
Costa Rica: L-D-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Costa Rica 1–3 Ecuador, 21 Jun 2023.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Ecuador
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ecuador
Costa Rica
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Friendlies
Ecuador
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Costa Rica
Rank among 91 Friendlies teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ecuador at home · Costa Rica away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ecuador (home)
Costa Rica (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Costa Rica 0 wins · 0 draws · Ecuador 2 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2023 | Costa Rica | 1–3 | Ecuador | Friendlies |
| 21 Jun 2023 | Ecuador | 3–1 | Costa Rica | Friendlies |
📈 Recent Form
Ecuador
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Panama | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/09 | South Korea | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 01/07 | Mexico | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/06 | Germany | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/06 | Curaçao | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 15/06 | Ivory Coast | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 07/06 | Guatemala | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 31/05 | Saudi Arabia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 31/03 | Netherlands | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/03 | Morocco | Away | 1–1 | D |
Costa Rica
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03 | — | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 27/03 | — | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/11 | — | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 14/11 | — | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 14/10 | — | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 10/10 | — | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/09 | — | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 06/09 | — | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/06 | — | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 19/06 | — | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies
Ecuador
Costa Rica
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ecuador
Costa Rica
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws