Predictions → World Friendlies

Malta vs Eswatini

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Friendly International • ⛅ 24.5°C, 10 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available44.9% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available74.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available51.5% · Yes 48.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available57.5% · Over 42.5% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available11.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Malta 44.9% · Draw 29.7% · Eswatini 25.4%. Selected outcome: Malta win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Malta 1.39, Eswatini 0.99, expected total 2.38.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Malta: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Eswatini: L-L-L-D-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Malta

Form (last 5)
LLLWL
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.24
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.11
Elo strength rating1368

Eswatini

Form (last 5)
LLLDL
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating—
MaltaEswatini
LLLWL
LLLDL
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.70
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.24
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.11
—
Elo strength rating
1368
—

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Malta

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Eswatini

Lost 3 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Malta at home · Eswatini away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Malta (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Eswatini (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Malta (home)Eswatini (away)
W 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
11.6%
2–0
8.97%
2–1
8.87%
3–0
4.17%
3–1
4.12%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Malta

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/03 — Away 0–3 L
26/03 — Home 0–2 L
17/11 — Home 2–3 L
14/11 — Away 1–0 W
12/10 — Home 1–4 L
09/10 — Home 0–4 L
09/09 — Home 3–1 W
04/09 — Away 1–1 D
10/06 — Away 0–8 L
07/06 — Home 0–0 D

Eswatini

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/03 Eritrea Home 1–2 L
25/03 Eritrea Away 0–2 L
13/10 Cape Verde Islands Away 0–3 L
08/10 Angola Home 2–2 D
08/09 Libya Away 0–2 L
04/09 Cameroon Away 0–3 L
11/06 Tanzania Home 1–2 L
09/06 Madagascar Away 1–1 D
23/03 Mauritius Home 3–3 D
19/03 Cameroon Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies

Malta

Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.24
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.11
Corners for (avg)3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Eswatini

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
MaltaEswatini
Played
3
0
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
0.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.24
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.11
—
Corners for (avg)
3.30
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Malta

1
0-15
16-30
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
2
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Eswatini

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws