Predictions → World Friendlies

France U21 vs Italy U21

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Friendly International • 🌦 24°C, 8 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available53.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available77.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available67% · No 33% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available68.1% · Under 31.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: France U21 53.3% · Draw 22.7% · Italy U21 24.0%. Selected outcome: France U21 win.

Goals

Model expected goals: France U21 2.13, Italy U21 1.39, expected total 3.52.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

France U21: W-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Italy U21: W-W-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: France U21 2–1 Italy U21, 22 Jun 2023.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

France U21

Form (last 5)
WWWDW
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1317

Italy U21

Form (last 5)
WWWLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating—
France U21Italy U21
WWWDW
WWWLW
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
1
1
Elo strength rating
1317
—

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

France U21

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Italy U21

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Friendlies

France U21

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Italy U21

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 91 Friendlies teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

France U21 at home · Italy U21 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

France U21 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Italy U21 (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
France U21 (home)Italy U21 (away)
W 1
L 2
Played
3
0
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
0.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.4%
2–0
6.76%
3–1
6.68%
1–0
5.46%
3–0
4.8%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

France U21 1 win · 0 draws · Italy U21 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Jun 2023 France U21 2–1 Italy U21 UEFA U21 Championship

📈 Recent Form

France U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/03 Iceland U21 Home 2–1 W
26/03 Luxembourg U21 Away 5–1 W
17/11 Faroe Islands U21 Home 1–0 W
14/11 Switzerland U21 Away 1–1 D
13/10 Estonia U21 Home 6–1 W
10/10 Faroe Islands U21 Away 6–0 W
09/10 England U18 Away 0–1 L
08/09 Serbia U21 Home 3–0 W
07/09 Japan U18 Home 1–1 D
05/09 Portugal U18 Home 0–2 L

Italy U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/03 — Away 4–0 W
26/03 — Home 4–0 W
18/11 — Away 4–1 W
14/11 — Away 1–2 L
14/10 — Home 5–1 W
10/10 — Home 4–0 W
09/09 — Away 1–0 W
05/09 — Home 2–1 W
17/06 — Away 1–1 D
14/06 — Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies

France U21

Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Italy U21

Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
France U21Italy U21
Played
3
1
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
0.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

France U21

0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Italy U21

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws