Uzbekistan vs Russia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Friendly International • Pakhtakor Central Stadium • ☀️ 7.9°C, 2 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 37.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 74.7% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 68% · Yes 32% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 77.4% · Over 22.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.8% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.1 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 53.2% · Over 46.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Uzbekistan 37.6% · Draw 37.1% · Russia 25.3%. Selected outcome: Uzbekistan win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Uzbekistan 0.93, Russia 0.71, expected total 1.64.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Uzbekistan: L-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Russia: D-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Uzbekistan 0–0 Russia, 20 Nov 2022.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Uzbekistan
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Uzbekistan
Russia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Friendlies
Uzbekistan
Russia
Rank among 91 Friendlies teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Uzbekistan at home · Russia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Uzbekistan (home)
Russia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Russia 0 wins · 1 draw · Uzbekistan 0 wins · avg 0 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2022 | Uzbekistan | 0–0 | Russia | Friendlies |
📈 Recent Form
Uzbekistan
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | South Korea | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 01/10 | Syria | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 24/09 | Iran | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 28/06 | Congo DR | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 23/06 | Portugal | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 18/06 | Colombia | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 08/06 | Netherlands | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 02/06 | Canada | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/03 | Gabon | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/01 | FC Urartu | Home | 4–2 | W |
Russia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Nigeria | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 03/10 | Namibia | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Iran | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 09/06 | Trinidad and Tobago | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 05/06 | Burkina Faso | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 28/05 | Egypt | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 31/03 | Mali | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 27/03 | Nicaragua | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 15/11 | Chile | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 12/11 | Peru | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Friendlies
Uzbekistan
Russia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Uzbekistan
Russia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Friendlies predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws