Our model gives Man Utd Zambia Academy win a 89% confidence rating
Zambia Super League Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 10 Matches β’ Round 3 β’ Updated 19 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 3
Wednesday, October 14
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | WWLLL |
Green Eagles
vs
Red Arrows
|
DWWWW | 74% | 30.6% | Home | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | DLLDL |
Mufulira Wanderers
vs
Nkwazi
|
DLLWW | 78% | 40.6% | Home | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | DDLWW |
NAPSA Stars
vs
Nkana
|
WWDLW | 75% | 32.1% | Draw | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | LDWWL |
Nchanga Rangers
vs
Trident
|
DLDLD | 82% | 51% | Home | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | DWLDW |
Konkola Blades
vs
Man Utd Zambia Academy
|
WDWLW | 74% | 29.3% | Home | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | LDDLW |
Kansanshi Dynamos
vs
Power Dynamos
|
WDDWW | 81% | 48.9% | Away | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | DWWDL |
Roan United
vs
ZESCO United
|
LDWWW | 74% | 31.4% | Home | N/A | β |
Thursday, October 15
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | LLLWD |
Mutondo Stars
vs
Green Buffaloes
|
DWLLW | 75% | 34% | Draw | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | DL |
Chirundu Utd
vs
Kabwe Warriors
|
WDLDL | 74% | 30.3% | Home | N/A | β |
| 16:00 | LD |
Makeni All Stars
vs
Zanaco
|
DWLDW | 73% | 27.8% | Away | N/A | β |
Top Trends from Super League Teams
Our model gives Power Dynamos win a 87% confidence rating
Red Arrows are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Mufulira Wanderers have achieved just 2 wins
NAPSA Stars are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Trident have achieved just 2 wins
Konkola Blades are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Predictlix Super League Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Red Arrows carry the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model rating their home tie against Mufulira Wanderers at 87 confidence and 64.5% probability, the highest in the round. That edge stems from a home attack of 1.4136 against an away figure of just 0.4501. Power Dynamos versus Nchanga Rangers also stands out at 86 confidence and 62.4%, while Kabwe Warriors over Mutondo Stars sits at 85 and 59.9%. Back Red Arrows at home, though early-season uncertainty warrants modest stakes.
Model Track Record in This League
Transparency matters more than hype, so here are the real settled numbers. Across 41 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model's match winner call landed 29.3% of the time (12/41), while Over/Under 2.5 hit 70.7% (29/41) and double chance reached 73.2% (30/41). BTTS came in at 51.2% (21/41) and correct score at just 9.8% (4/41). That sample sits under 50 matches, so treat these figures as early evidence rather than proof.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers carries the window's strongest home attack, a lambda of 1.4136, yet the away side's 0.4501 rating drags the tie toward Under 2.5 at 60.5%. Trident vs NAPSA Stars leans hardest Under, 64.8%, with lambdas of 0.7816 and 0.514 pointing to a tight contest. Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers sits closest to the Over line, Under at just 53.3%, because the hosts' 1.6204 lambda is the highest in this window. Back Under 2.5 in Trident vs NAPSA Stars at 64.8% confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Roan United carry the heaviest burden in this window, managing just 1 win across their 10 most recent matches. Nkana and Mutondo Stars each sit on 2 wins from the same span, a winless pattern worth tracking. At the other end, Man Utd Zambia Academy and Kansanshi Dynamos are both unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches. Note the early season caveat: these streaks rest on short samples.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Kansanshi Dynamos and Mutondo Stars carry the heaviest defensive burden in this window, each conceding 2 goals per outing so far. By contrast, Power Dynamos, Nkana and Zanaco have shipped nothing, with Power Dynamos, Nkana and Zanaco each recording 1 clean sheet. Red Arrows and Nkwazi also sit on 1 clean sheet apiece, underlining the early-season pattern of tight home rearguards across the division.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Every side in this Super League window sits on 0 pts with a GD of +0, and the standings note confirms the position is not yet meaningful after 0 rounds played. With at most 0 rounds completed, the table order tells us nothing about a title race or a relegation scrap. Red Arrows against Mufulira Wanderers stands out purely on form context rather than points. Roan United have achieved just 1 wins in their 10 most recent matches, while Man Utd Zambia Academy are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Red Arrows carry the strongest edge in this window, with the PredictLix model rating their home clash against Mufulira Wanderers at 87 confidence and a 64.5% predicted outcome. No accumulator can be built here, though, because the snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs with real odds. Rather than invent a combined price, the honest play is a single: back Red Arrows to win at home, where the model's 64.5% probability and 87 confidence make them the standout selection.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 38.2% | 38.9% | 18 |
| Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% | 66.6% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 53.2% | 52.6% | 19 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% | 60.4% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 63.0% | 66.7% | 6 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 55.6% | 57.1% | 14 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 20 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 73.5% | 60.0% | 10 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 68.0% | 57.1% | 7 |
| Double Chance Β· 80+% | 85.1% | 100.0% | 3 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 28.2% | 50.0% | 4 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 2
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 16:00 | WDLDL |
Kabwe Warriors
vs
Mutondo Stars
|
LLLWD | 84% | 55.7% | Home β | @1.82 | 3 β 2 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | WDWLW |
Man Utd Zambia Academy
vs
Kansanshi Dynamos
|
LDDLW | 79% | 44.4% | Home β | N/A | 4 β 1 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | WWDLW |
Nkana
vs
Makeni All Stars
|
LD | 76% | 34.3% | Home β | N/A | 4 β 1 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | DLLWW |
Nkwazi
vs
Chirundu Utd
|
DL | 81% | 47.9% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | DWWWW |
Red Arrows
vs
Mufulira Wanderers
|
DLLDL | 87% | 64.5% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | DWWDL |
Roan United
vs
Green Buffaloes
|
DWLLW | 77% | 38.6% | Home β | @2.25 | 0 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | DLDLD |
Trident
vs
NAPSA Stars
|
DDLWW | 77% | 38.2% | Draw β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 16:00 | LDWWW |
ZESCO United
vs
Green Eagles
|
WWLLL | 78% | 40.7% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 1 FT |
| 11/10 16:00 | DWLDW |
Zanaco
vs
Konkola Blades
|
DWLDW | 79% | 44.1% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 3 FT |
| 11/10 16:00 | WDDWW |
Power Dynamos
vs
Nchanga Rangers
|
LDWWL | 88% | 68.6% | Home β | @1.48 | 1 β 0 FT |