Zambia Super League Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 10 Matches β€’ Round 3 β€’ Updated 19 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 3

Wednesday, October 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
16:00 WWLLL
Green Eagles Green Eagles vs Red Arrows Red Arrows
DWWWW 74% 30.6% Home N/A β€”
16:00 DLLDL
Mufulira Wanderers Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi Nkwazi
DLLWW 78% 40.6% Home N/A β€”
16:00 DDLWW
NAPSA Stars NAPSA Stars vs Nkana Nkana
WWDLW 75% 32.1% Draw N/A β€”
16:00 LDWWL
Nchanga Rangers Nchanga Rangers vs Trident Trident
DLDLD 82% 51% Home N/A β€”
16:00 DWLDW
Konkola Blades Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy Man Utd Zambia Academy
WDWLW 74% 29.3% Home N/A β€”
16:00 LDDLW
Kansanshi Dynamos Kansanshi Dynamos vs Power Dynamos Power Dynamos
WDDWW 81% 48.9% Away N/A β€”
16:00 DWWDL
Roan United Roan United vs ZESCO United ZESCO United
LDWWW 74% 31.4% Home N/A β€”

Thursday, October 15

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
16:00 LLLWD
Mutondo Stars Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes Green Buffaloes
DWLLW 75% 34% Draw N/A β€”
16:00 DL
Chirundu Utd Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors Kabwe Warriors
WDLDL 74% 30.3% Home N/A β€”
16:00 LD
Makeni All Stars Makeni All Stars vs Zanaco Zanaco
DWLDW 73% 27.8% Away N/A β€”

Predictlix Super League Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Red Arrows carry the strongest signal in this window, with the PredictLix model rating their home tie against Mufulira Wanderers at 87 confidence and 64.5% probability, the highest in the round. That edge stems from a home attack of 1.4136 against an away figure of just 0.4501. Power Dynamos versus Nchanga Rangers also stands out at 86 confidence and 62.4%, while Kabwe Warriors over Mutondo Stars sits at 85 and 59.9%. Back Red Arrows at home, though early-season uncertainty warrants modest stakes.

πŸ“ˆ

Model Track Record in This League

Transparency matters more than hype, so here are the real settled numbers. Across 41 settled matches in this league, the PredictLix model's match winner call landed 29.3% of the time (12/41), while Over/Under 2.5 hit 70.7% (29/41) and double chance reached 73.2% (30/41). BTTS came in at 51.2% (21/41) and correct score at just 9.8% (4/41). That sample sits under 50 matches, so treat these figures as early evidence rather than proof.

⚽

Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers carries the window's strongest home attack, a lambda of 1.4136, yet the away side's 0.4501 rating drags the tie toward Under 2.5 at 60.5%. Trident vs NAPSA Stars leans hardest Under, 64.8%, with lambdas of 0.7816 and 0.514 pointing to a tight contest. Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers sits closest to the Over line, Under at just 53.3%, because the hosts' 1.6204 lambda is the highest in this window. Back Under 2.5 in Trident vs NAPSA Stars at 64.8% confidence.

πŸ”₯

Streak & Momentum Signals

Roan United carry the heaviest burden in this window, managing just 1 win across their 10 most recent matches. Nkana and Mutondo Stars each sit on 2 wins from the same span, a winless pattern worth tracking. At the other end, Man Utd Zambia Academy and Kansanshi Dynamos are both unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches. Note the early season caveat: these streaks rest on short samples.

🧱

Defensive Lines β€” Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Kansanshi Dynamos and Mutondo Stars carry the heaviest defensive burden in this window, each conceding 2 goals per outing so far. By contrast, Power Dynamos, Nkana and Zanaco have shipped nothing, with Power Dynamos, Nkana and Zanaco each recording 1 clean sheet. Red Arrows and Nkwazi also sit on 1 clean sheet apiece, underlining the early-season pattern of tight home rearguards across the division.

🏟️

Standings Context & Match Motivation

Every side in this Super League window sits on 0 pts with a GD of +0, and the standings note confirms the position is not yet meaningful after 0 rounds played. With at most 0 rounds completed, the table order tells us nothing about a title race or a relegation scrap. Red Arrows against Mufulira Wanderers stands out purely on form context rather than points. Roan United have achieved just 1 wins in their 10 most recent matches, while Man Utd Zambia Academy are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches.

πŸ’°

Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Red Arrows carry the strongest edge in this window, with the PredictLix model rating their home clash against Mufulira Wanderers at 87 confidence and a 64.5% predicted outcome. No accumulator can be built here, though, because the snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs with real odds. Rather than invent a combined price, the honest play is a single: back Red Arrows to win at home, where the model's 64.5% probability and 87 confidence make them the standout selection.

πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

20 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
40.0% 8/20
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 10/20
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
60.0% 12/20
πŸ”’ Correct Score
10.0% 2/20
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
65.0% 13/20
🀝 Draw Predictions
50.0% 2/4

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 40.0% 8/20
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 10/20
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 60.0% 12/20
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 65.0% 13/20

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 38.2% 38.9% 18
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 66.6% 50.0% 2
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 53.2% 52.6% 19
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 60.4% 0.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 63.0% 66.7% 6
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 55.6% 57.1% 14
Correct Score Β· <60% 13.0% 10.0% 20
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 73.5% 60.0% 10
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.0% 57.1% 7
Double Chance Β· 80+% 85.1% 100.0% 3
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 28.2% 50.0% 4

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 2

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
10/10 16:00 WDLDL
Kabwe Warriors Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars Mutondo Stars
LLLWD 84% 55.7% Home βœ… @1.82 3 – 2 FT
10/10 16:00 WDWLW
Man Utd Zambia Academy Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos Kansanshi Dynamos
LDDLW 79% 44.4% Home βœ… N/A 4 – 1 FT
10/10 16:00 WWDLW
Nkana Nkana vs Makeni All Stars Makeni All Stars
LD 76% 34.3% Home βœ… N/A 4 – 1 FT
10/10 16:00 DLLWW
Nkwazi Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd Chirundu Utd
DL 81% 47.9% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 DWWWW
Red Arrows Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers Mufulira Wanderers
DLLDL 87% 64.5% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 DWWDL
Roan United Roan United vs Green Buffaloes Green Buffaloes
DWLLW 77% 38.6% Home ❌ @2.25 0 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 DLDLD
Trident Trident vs NAPSA Stars NAPSA Stars
DDLWW 77% 38.2% Draw βœ… N/A 0 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 LDWWW
ZESCO United ZESCO United vs Green Eagles Green Eagles
WWLLL 78% 40.7% Home ❌ N/A 0 – 1 FT
11/10 16:00 DWLDW
Zanaco Zanaco vs Konkola Blades Konkola Blades
DWLDW 79% 44.1% Home ❌ N/A 2 – 3 FT
11/10 16:00 WDDWW
Power Dynamos Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers Nchanga Rangers
LDWWL 88% 68.6% Home βœ… @1.48 1 – 0 FT