Predictions β†’ Argentina Liga Profesional

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi

Next match: Sun, 18 Oct 2026 β€’ 20:00 UTC+3 β€’ Clausura - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 75% 32.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 71% 71.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 84% 55% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 86% 58.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 0-0 83% 18.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.5 exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.88 – 0.70 Aldosivi Β· expected total 1.58

Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed β€” the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes β€” critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

🧠 Match Preview

Sunday's Clausura round 13 clash between Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Aldosivi shapes as a low-quality, low-scoring affair that the model expects to end level. The home side arrive in dreadful form, having taken just one point from a run of LLLLD, while Aldosivi's LLWLW is marginally better but hardly convincing. With no table position or injury data to shift the picture, the numbers themselves carry the weight.

The model sees a tight, goal-shy contest. Expected goals sit at just 0.8834 for Estudiantes and 0.6978 for Aldosivi, with recent xG readings of 0.85 and 1.42 respectively β€” the visitors creating slightly more, but not enough to flip favouritism. The head-to-head record reinforces the theme: 0-0, 2-2 and 1-1 in the last three meetings, no winner in any of them. That history feeds directly into the headline call of a draw at 32.9 percent, with the 0-0 correct score the single most likely outcome at 21.84 percent and the model's official pick at 18.9 percent.

For bettors, the double chance 1X at 71.4 percent is the safest anchor, while Under 2.5 goals at 58.8 percent and BTTS No at 55 percent both align with the same defensive, blunt attacking story. Over 9.5 corners at 52.1 percent is a marginal lean only. The honest caveat: a 32.9 percent draw is a plurality, not a majority, and Aldosivi's recent xG of 1.42 hints they could nick a goal against the division's most out-of-form defence. Treat the draw and unders as value, not certainty.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 20:09 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Form (last 5)
LRacing Club (H) 1–2 Β· 05/10/2026LBelgrano Cordoba (A) 1–2 Β· 20/09/2026LInstituto Cordoba (A) 1–2 Β· 15/09/2026LSarmiento Junin (H) 0–2 Β· 04/09/2026DHuracan (A) 1–1 Β· 29/08/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.59
xG against (recent avg)0.72
Elo strength rating1310

Aldosivi

Form (last 5)
LSarmiento Junin (H) 1–3 Β· 09/10/2026LHuracan (A) 0–1 Β· 04/10/2026WAtletico Tucuman (H) 1–0 Β· 21/09/2026LIndepend. Rivadavia (A) 3–4 Β· 12/09/2026WBanfield (H) 3–1 Β· 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.94
xG against (recent avg)1.42
Elo strength rating1347
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAldosivi
LSarmiento Junin (H) 1–3 Β· 09/10/2026LHuracan (A) 0–1 Β· 04/10/2026WAtletico Tucuman (H) 1–0 Β· 21/09/2026LIndepend. Rivadavia (A) 3–4 Β· 12/09/2026WBanfield (H) 3–1 Β· 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.40
0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.40
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.59
0.94
xG against (recent avg)
0.72
1.42
Elo strength rating
1310
1347

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Lost 4 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Aldosivi

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Liga Profesional

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Worst attack (0.40 goals/game)

Aldosivi

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home Β· Aldosivi away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–9L
W 2
D 3
L 9
Played14
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score9

Aldosivi (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–12L
D 2
L 12
Played14
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score7
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (home)Aldosivi (away)
W 2
D 3
L 9
D 2
L 12
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.80
Clean sheets
5
0
Failed to score
9
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

0–0
18.9%
1–1
12.1%
2–2
1.7%
3–3
0.1%
4–4
0%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Aldosivi 0 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 wins Β· avg 2 goals Β· BTTS in 2 of 3

3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Apr 2026 Aldosivi 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Aug 2024 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–2 Aldosivi Primera Nacional
16 Mar 2024 Aldosivi 1–1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Primera Nacional

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05/10 Racing Club Home 1–2 L
20/09 Belgrano Cordoba Away 1–2 L
15/09 Instituto Cordoba Away 1–2 L
04/09 Sarmiento Junin Home 0–2 L
29/08 Huracan Away 1–1 D

Aldosivi

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Sarmiento Junin Home 1–3 L
04/10 Huracan Away 0–1 L
21/09 Atletico Tucuman Home 1–0 W
12/09 Independ. Rivadavia Away 3–4 L
05/09 Banfield Home 3–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Liga Profesional

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Played27
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets6
Failed to score17
Yellow cards59
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.59
xG against (avg)0.72
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Aldosivi

Played28
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets6
Failed to score13
Yellow cards80
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)1.42
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAldosivi
Played
27
28
Goals scored (avg)
0.40
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.40
Clean sheets
6
6
Failed to score
17
13
Yellow cards
59
80
Red cards
3
3
xG for (avg)
0.59
0.94
xG against (avg)
0.72
1.42
Corners for (avg)
5.20
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

5
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
6
46-60
1
8
61-75
3
11
76-90
3
scored conceded

Aldosivi

5
0-15
3
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
2
9
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Liga Profesional predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws