Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 03:15 UTC+3 • Clausura - 15 • Estadio Bautista Gargantini • 🌦 19.6°C, 2 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.47 → 1.62 ▲10% | Betano1.62 | 56.6% | -8.3% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.16 | 81.7% | -5.2% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.85 | 52.4% · Yes 47.6% | -3.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.93 | 53% · Over 47% | +2.3% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3657.00 | 11.4% | -20.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Pinnacle1.63 | 53.5% · Over 46.5% | -12.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Independ. Rivadavia · Home
Independ. Rivadavia have won just once in five recent matches, but that win came away at Barracas Central and two home draws show they are harder to beat at home. Their recent xG for of 1.13 sits below the model expected goals of 1.27 for this fixture.
Banfield · Away
Banfield are unbeaten in four of five recent matches, yet they have not kept a clean sheet in any of them. Their recent xG for of 0.94 is the lower of the two sides.
Banfield's clean-sheet drought
Banfield have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding in every one, including 2-2 at Gimnasia L.P. and 1-1 at home to Lanus. The latest head-to-head, on 20 Apr 2026, finished 0-0, while the previous meeting in Rivadavia ended 1-2. Independ. Rivadavia have scored in three of their last five and hold a higher recent xG for (1.13) than Banfield (0.94). A narrow home win fits the 1-0 correct-score lean and the Under 2.5 pick, so Independ. Rivadavia win is the realistic conclusion. The evidence supports Independ. Rivadavia win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Independ. Rivadavia 1.27 – 1.03 Banfield · expected total 2.30
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Independ. Rivadavia at home · Banfield away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Independ. Rivadavia (home)
Banfield (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Banfield 7 wins · 2 draws · Independ. Rivadavia 1 win · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2026 | Banfield | 0–0 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Independ. Rivadavia | 1–2 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Banfield | 1–1 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Banfield | 2–0 | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 30 May 2024 | Independ. Rivadavia | 1–2 | Banfield | Copa Argentina |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Independ. Rivadavia | 1–2 | Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 04 May 2014 | Banfield | 4–0 | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional |
| 04 Nov 2013 | Independ. Rivadavia | 3–0 | Banfield | Primera Nacional |
| 14 May 2013 | Banfield | 3–1 | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional |
| 12 Nov 2012 | Independ. Rivadavia | 0–2 | Banfield | Primera Nacional |
📈 Recent Form
Independ. Rivadavia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Argentinos JRS | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Tigre | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 11/10 | Rosario Central | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 03/10 | Gimnasia L.P. | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 22/09 | Barracas Central | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Aldosivi | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 07/09 | River Plate | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 27/08 | Aldosivi | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 23/08 | Independiente | Away | 0–0 | D |
Banfield
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lanus | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Argentinos JRS | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Tigre | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Rosario Central | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia L.P. | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Aldosivi | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 23/08 | Newells Old Boys | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Álvaro Carranza