Predictions → Argentina Liga Profesional

Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 16 • Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo • ☀️ 16.3°C, 9 km/h clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Match Winner (1X2): Home
Model probability 50.1% · Market implied at best price ≈ 39.2% · EV at shown price +27.8%
Best odds 2.55 · Dafabet Betano 2.37

Snapshotted at publish: Home at 2.55 (50.1%, Model EV +27.8%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Dafabet2.5550.1% +27.8%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.3979.9% +11.1%
BTTS No Bet3651.9157% · Yes 43% +8.9%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Pinnacle1.8561.8% · Over 38.2% +14.3%
Correct Score 1-0 1xBet7.5014.2% +6.5%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.9 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.2% · Under 46.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Gimnasia L.P. · Home

Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten across their last five, winning three and drawing two while scoring in every match. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win over Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

Belgrano Cordoba · Away

Belgrano Cordoba have alternated sharply, with two away wins but also two scoreless defeats in their last five. They failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Aldosivi and the 0-3 home defeat to River Plate.

Gimnasia's Edge in Tight H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Gimnasia won 0-1 away at Belgrano on 26 Apr 2026, repeating the same 0-1 scoreline from 26 Aug 2024. Both recent meetings were settled by a single goal, and the only home H2H listed ended 0-2 to Belgrano in 16 Apr 2023. Gimnasia's five-match record of 8 goals for and 4 against supports a narrow home edge, while Belgrano's two failed-to-score games in five point to a low-scoring visit. The model's 1.41 home expected goals against 0.8 for Belgrano fits a one-goal margin, so Gimnasia L.P. win is realistic. The evidence supports Gimnasia L.P. win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Gimnasia L.P. 1.41 – 0.80 Belgrano Cordoba · expected total 2.22

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Gimnasia L.P.

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
Elo strength rating1408

Belgrano Cordoba

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.04
Elo strength rating1447
Gimnasia L.P.Belgrano Cordoba
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
0.80
Best league winning streak this season
5
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.92
1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.99
1.04
Elo strength rating
1408
1447

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Gimnasia L.P.

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 9
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Belgrano Cordoba

Winless 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional

Gimnasia L.P.

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Belgrano Cordoba

Best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (16, season)

Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gimnasia L.P. at home · Belgrano Cordoba away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Gimnasia L.P. (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–3D–4L
W 8
D 3
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets6
Failed to score2

Belgrano Cordoba (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–6D–3L
W 9
D 6
L 3
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets10
Failed to score6
Gimnasia L.P. (home)Belgrano Cordoba (away)
W 8
D 3
L 4
W 9
D 6
L 3
Played
15
18
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.70
Clean sheets
6
10
Failed to score
2
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
14.16%
2–0
10.89%
2–1
8.75%
3–0
5.13%
3–1
4.13%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Belgrano Cordoba 3 wins · 1 draw · Gimnasia L.P. 3 wins · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 1 of 7

3
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
27 Aug 2024 Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
16 Apr 2023 Gimnasia L.P. 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina
03 Nov 2018 Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Nov 2017 Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
11 Dec 2016 Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina
31 May 2015 Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina

📈 Recent Form

Gimnasia L.P.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Away 2–1 W
24/10 Sarmiento Junin Home 2–0 W
16/10 Huracan Away 2–1 W
10/10 Atletico Tucuman Home 1–1 D
03/10 Independ. Rivadavia Away 1–1 D
19/09 Banfield Home 2–2 D
13/09 Argentinos JRS Away 1–1 D
05/09 Tigre Home 2–1 W
29/08 Rosario Central Away 2–1 W
22/08 Gimnasia M. Home 2–3 L

Belgrano Cordoba

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 Barracas Central Home 2–2 D
25/10 Aldosivi Away 0–1 L
19/10 River Plate Home 0–3 L
12/10 Racing Club Away 2–0 W
04/10 Talleres Cordoba Away 1–0 W
21/09 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Home 2–1 W
13/09 Sarmiento Junin Away 1–1 D
05/09 Huracan Home 1–1 D
30/08 Atletico Tucuman Away 0–0 D
23/08 Defensa Y Justicia Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional

Gimnasia L.P.

Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets9
Failed to score7
Yellow cards90
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)5/3

Belgrano Cordoba

Played34
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets16
Failed to score10
Yellow cards73
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.04
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)2/2
Gimnasia L.P.Belgrano Cordoba
Played
33
34
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.80
Clean sheets
9
16
Failed to score
7
10
Yellow cards
90
73
Red cards
6
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.92
1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.99
1.04
Corners for (avg)
5.00
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/3
2/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gimnasia L.P.

3
0-15
7
4
16-30
8
8
31-45
9
8
46-60
4
7
61-75
5
10
76-90
10
scored conceded

Belgrano Cordoba

3
0-15
4
16-30
2
8
31-45
5
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
4
6
76-90
14
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws