Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 16 • Estadio Alberto J. Armando
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 53.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 46.6% · Yes 53.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.4% · Over 51.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 10.1% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.6 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.9% · Over 43.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Boca Juniors · Home
Boca Juniors have won four of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over River Plate and a 1-0 away win at Independiente. Their recent xG for of 1.72 sits just below a model expected goals figure of 1.73 for this fixture.
Defensa Y Justicia · Away
Defensa Y Justicia have scored nine goals across their last five, with a 2-1 away win at Talleres Cordoba and a 3-0 home win over San Lorenzo. Their recent xG for of 1.92 is higher than Boca's, yet the model expected goals for this match is only 1.01.
Boca's H2H Edge Holds
The latest head-to-head is the telling angle: Boca Juniors won 4-0 away at Defensa Y Justicia on 23 Apr 2026, and they also won 4-0 at home in the 2025 meeting recorded as 4-0. Defensa's 2-1 win in between shows this is not one-sided, but Boca's two four-goal H2H wins support a home result. Boca have kept two clean sheets in five and conceded three goals, which fits a low-scoring home win rather than a shootout. The evidence supports Boca Juniors win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Boca Juniors 1.73 – 1.01 Defensa Y Justicia · expected total 2.74
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Boca Juniors
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Boca Juniors at home · Defensa Y Justicia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Boca Juniors (home)
Defensa Y Justicia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Boca Juniors 4 wins · 4 draws · Defensa Y Justicia 2 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia | 0–4 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia | 2–1 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 17 Mar 2025 | Boca Juniors | 4–0 | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 22 Jul 2024 | Defensa Y Justicia | 2–2 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Boca Juniors | 0–0 | Defensa Y Justicia | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia | 1–0 | Boca Juniors | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 07 Mar 2023 | Boca Juniors | 0–0 | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 22 Aug 2022 | Defensa Y Justicia | 0–1 | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 11 May 2022 | Boca Juniors | 2–0 | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 15 Sep 2021 | Boca Juniors | 0–0 | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
📈 Recent Form
Boca Juniors
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | River Plate | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Independiente | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Vasco DA Gama | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Talleres Cordoba | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 14/10 | Vasco DA Gama | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Instituto Cordoba | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Union Santa Fe | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Racing Club | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | San Lorenzo | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Sao Paulo | Away | 1–1 | D |
Defensa Y Justicia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Talleres Cordoba | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Instituto Cordoba | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Union Santa Fe | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | San Lorenzo | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia M. | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanus | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 01/09 | Platense | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 23/08 | Belgrano Cordoba | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors #2 · 30 pts · Defensa Y Justicia #10 · 19 pts
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws