Our model gives Rapid Vienna win a 92% confidence rating
Austria Bundesliga Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 6 Matches β’ Round 9 β’ Updated 16 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 9
Friday, October 16
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:30 | WWWLW |
Rapid Vienna
vs
TSV Hartberg
|
DDWWW | 92% | 79.3% | Home | 1.34 | β |
Saturday, October 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | WLWLD |
Austria Lustenau
vs
Lask Linz
|
LWWWL | 89% | 69.3% | Away | 1.42 | β |
| 20:30 | WDWDW |
Ried
vs
Austria Vienna
|
LWDWW | 80% | 45% | Home | 2.36 | β |
Sunday, October 18
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | DLWWD |
Red Bull Salzburg
vs
SCR Altach
|
LLWLL | 92% | 82.2% | Home | 1.37 | β |
| 15:30 | LLLDL |
Wolfsberger AC
vs
WSG Wattens
|
LWWLD | 76% | 35.5% | Home | 2.35 | β |
| 18:00 | WWLDW |
Sturm Graz
vs
Grazer AK
|
DWDWW | 87% | 65.5% | Home | 1.70 | β |
Top Trends from Bundesliga Teams
Our model gives Red Bull Salzburg win a 92% confidence rating
Our model gives Lask Linz win a 91% confidence rating
Our model gives TSV Hartberg win a 90% confidence rating
Our model gives Sturm Graz win a 87% confidence rating
Austria Vienna have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Ried
Wolfsberger AC have failed to win in their last 6 matches
Predictlix Bundesliga Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Red Bull Salzburg versus SCR Altach carries the window's strongest signal, with a 92 confidence rating and an 88.8% model probability of a home win. That gap stems from a huge home lambda of 2.4756 against Altach's 0.4565, plus a table divide between second and bottom. Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau also rates 92 confidence at 79%, while TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC sits at 89 confidence and 70.7%. Back Salzburg at short home odds inside a confident single.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Rapid Vienna versus Austria Lustenau carries the strongest Over lean at 58.8%, and the numbers back it up, with Rapid's attack averaging 3 goals scored per game. Lask Linz against Red Bull Salzburg follows closely at 59.1% Over, reflecting Lask's 2.7 scoring average. At the other end, SCR Altach versus Wolfsberger AC sits at just 49% Under, a clash of two blunt attacks. Best value: Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna Over 2.5 at 1.45, with 63.4% model confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Lask Linz arrive unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches, a run that anchors their push near the top of the table. Rapid Vienna and Red Bull Salzburg each carry 92% confidence ratings in the PredictLix model, reflecting their dominant form. At the other end, Wolfsberger AC have failed to win in their last 6 matches. SCR Altach's five straight defeats leave them rooted to the bottom. Full data coverage applies here, so these streaks rest on solid samples rather than early-season noise.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Red Bull Salzburg's defensive record stands out sharply, conceding just 0.6 goals per game with three clean sheets. Rapid Vienna and Lask Linz also look sturdy at the back, both shipping only 1.0 per outing. At the other end, Austria Lustenau leak 2.3 goals per match with a single clean sheet, the leakiest return in this window. SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC each concede 1.9, while Grazer AK sit on 1.7.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Rapid Vienna lead the Regular Season table on 18 points with a goal difference of +14, while Red Bull Salzburg sit second on 17 points and Lask Linz third on 16, all holding Champions League spots. At the other end, SCR Altach prop up the standings on 3 points, deep in the RELEGATION ZONE and must win. Wolfsberger AC and Austria Vienna join them there, both also needing victories urgently. Mid-table sides like WSG Wattens, Austria Lustenau and Grazer AK are locked in a relegation battle needing points.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg opens this acca, with the away side priced at 1.5 after a 63.4% model probability and 86 confidence. Next comes Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna, where the home win at 1.84 carries a 56.5% read and 84 confidence. SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC completes the three legs, home at 2.02 with 81 confidence. Combined odds across all three selections sit at 5.58, a solid punt for this window.
Model vs Market β Value Edges
Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 56.5% against an implied 52.5%, a +4pp edge at odds of 1.84. TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau shows a smaller +2.3pp edge at 2.22, while SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC adds +1.1pp at 2.02. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed result in any single match. Best takeaway: Lask Linz home at 1.84 carries the strongest confirmed edge here.
Head-to-Head & Historical Edge
Ried against Austria Vienna carries a striking head-to-head pattern, with Austria Vienna having won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these sides. That historical edge stands out sharply given Ried's current fifth-place standing. Another notable trend involves SCR Altach, who have failed to win in their last 6 matches, a run that shapes how Wolfsberger AC approach their meetings. Head-to-head history clearly colours both contests.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 47.7% | 33.3% | 6 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 52.9% | 50.0% | 6 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 51.5% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 63.4% | 0.0% | 1 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 6 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 74.1% | 80.0% | 5 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 69.4% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 53.3% | 16.7% | 6 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 1 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 18:00 | DWDWW |
Grazer AK
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
|
DLWWD | 77% | 37.8% | Away β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
| 10/10 18:00 | LWWLD |
WSG Wattens
vs
Ried
|
WDWDW | 77% | 36.8% | Home β | N/A | 1 β 2 FT |
| 11/10 15:30 | LLWLL |
SCR Altach
vs
Wolfsberger AC
|
LLLDL | 83% | 54.8% | Home β | @1.84 | 3 β 0 FT |
| 11/10 15:30 | DDWWW |
TSV Hartberg
vs
Austria Lustenau
|
WLWLD | 78% | 41% | Home β | @2.45 | 4 β 3 FT |
| 11/10 18:00 | LWWWL |
Lask Linz
vs
Rapid Vienna
|
WWWLW | 84% | 56.6% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 2 FT |