APEJES Academy have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Cameroon Elite One Draw Football Predictions
Round 5 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 5
Sunday, November 15
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | LLDDL |
Gazelle
vs
Stade Renard
|
LWDWW | 25.6% | Draw | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Elite One for Draws
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Canon have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Panthère have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2027/28
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 38.3% | 46.7% | 15 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 63.5% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.2% | 46.2% | 13 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 70.0% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 65.3% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.1% | 83.3% | 12 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.9% | 75.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 66.8% | 62.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.8% | 100.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.5% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 27.8% | 28.6% | 7 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 4
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 17:30 | LWLWL |
Victoria United
vs
Cotonsport
|
WWLDW | 26.9% | Draw ❌ | @3.25Betfair | -12.6% | 0 – 2 FT |