Derby vs Birmingham
Derby
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 74% | 35.8% | @2.18 | — | 45.5% | -9.7 pp | ✅ |
| Double Chance | 12 | 70% | 69.9% | @1.32 | — | 71.6% | -1.7 pp | ❌ |
| BTTS | No | 85% | 57% | @1.88 | — | 49.2% | +7.8 pp | ❌ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 88% | 63.2% | @1.80 | — | 53.7% | +9.5 pp | ❌ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | 74% | 13.5% | @6.00 | — | 7% | +6.5 pp | ❌ |
| Draw (value pick) | Draw | 66% | 29.8% | @3.35 | — | 28.4% | +1.4 pp | ❌ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Under 9.5 | 66% | 55.5% | @2.06 | — | 46.1% | +9.4 pp | ❌ |
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Derby
Birmingham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship
Derby
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Birmingham
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Derby at home · Birmingham away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Derby (home)
Birmingham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
📈 Recent Form
Derby
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Wrexham | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Burnley | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Birmingham | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/09 | West Brom | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | West Ham | Away | 0–3 | L |
Birmingham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | West Brom | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Middlesbrough | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Derby | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 09/09 | Norwich | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Wolves | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison — Championship
Derby #23 · 6 pts — Birmingham #7 · 14 pts
Derby
Birmingham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Derby
Birmingham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Derby
- ❌ P. Agyemang — Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Clarke — Calf Injury
- ❌ D. Murkin — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ S. Szmodics — Thigh Injury
- ❌ C. Morris — Inactive
- ❌ L. Travis — Injury
- ❌ C. Forsyth — Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Bilbija — Back Injury
- ❌ R. Brewster — Injury
- ❌ C. Taylor — Injury
- ❌ J. Widell Zetterstrom — Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Meister — Concussion
Birmingham
- ❌ L. Buchanan — Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Ducksch — Calf Injury
- ❌ T. Gardner-Hickman — Injury
- ❌ M. Leonard — Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Bird — Inactive
- ❌ D. Gray — Injury
- ❌ P. Roberts — Health problems
- ❌ S. Wright — Off the roster
- ❌ J. E. Solis Romero — Inactive
- ❌ Paik Seung-Ho — Health problems
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws