Predictions → England Championship

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham
2:2
Full Time · 19 Sep 2026
Middlesbrough

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 38% @2.42 — 38.9% -0.9 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 70% 70.5% @1.28 — 73.7% -3.2 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 83% 52.6% @1.52 — 60.9% -8.3 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80% 46.7% @1.65 — 56.6% -9.9 pp ✅
Correct Score 0-1 62% 6.9% @10.00 — 4.2% +2.7 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 62% 27.6% @3.46 — 26.3% +1.3 pp ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 69% 59.5% @1.72 — 53.8% +5.7 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Birmingham 1.26 – 1.32 Middlesbrough · expected total 2.57

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Birmingham

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Middlesbrough

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Birmingham

Best BTTS rate (83%)

Middlesbrough

3rd best attack (1.90 goals/game)

Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Birmingham at home · Middlesbrough away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Birmingham (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–4D–0L
D 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Middlesbrough (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Birmingham (home)Middlesbrough (away)
D 4
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Birmingham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 West Brom Away 1–0 W
19/09 Middlesbrough Home 2–2 D
12/09 Derby Away 2–1 W
09/09 Norwich Away 1–2 L
06/09 Wolves Home 2–2 D

Middlesbrough

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Wolves Home 1–0 W
19/09 Birmingham Away 2–2 D
15/09 Millwall Home 2–2 D
12/09 Norwich Home 4–3 W
08/09 Crystal Palace Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Birmingham #7 · 14 pts —  Middlesbrough #2 · 18 pts

Birmingham

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–1L
W 3
D 5
L 1
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.83
xG against (avg)1.59
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Middlesbrough

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–1L
W 5
D 3
L 1
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.76
xG against (avg)1.23
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
BirminghamMiddlesbrough
W 3
D 5
L 1
W 5
D 3
L 1
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.30
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
20
11
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.83
1.76
xG against (avg)
1.59
1.23
Corners for (avg)
5.40
6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Birmingham

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
8
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Middlesbrough

3
0-15
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Birmingham

  • ❌ L. Buchanan — Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Ducksch — Calf Injury
  • ❌ T. Gardner-Hickman — Injury
  • ❌ M. Leonard — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Bird — Inactive
  • ❌ D. Gray — Injury
  • ❌ P. Roberts — Health problems
  • ❌ S. Wright — Off the roster
  • ❌ J. E. Solis Romero — Inactive
  • ❌ Paik Seung-Ho — Health problems

Middlesbrough

  • ❌ T. Conway — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ A. Morris — Injury
  • ❌ D. Strelec — Health problems
  • ❌ A. Bangura — Coach's decision
  • ❌ A. Phillips — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ J. Sarmiento — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Jones — Calf Injury

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws