Predictions → England Championship

Bolton vs Stoke City

Bolton
1:2
Full Time · 10 Oct 2026
Stoke City

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 32.2% @2.62 — 37.7% -5.5 pp ✅
Double Chance X2 68% 67.2% @1.47 — 65.5% +1.7 pp ✅
BTTS No 81% 48.7% @2.15 — 44.6% +4.1 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.7% @1.91 — 51.3% +1.4 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-1 68% 10.5% @8.50 — 5.9% +4.6 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 65% 27.7% @3.45 — 27.8% -0.1 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.8% @2.02 — 48.2% +4.6 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Bolton 0.95 – 1.07 Stoke City · expected total 2.02

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Bolton

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Stoke City

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Bolton

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Stoke City

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bolton at home · Stoke City away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Bolton (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–3L
W 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Stoke City (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Bolton (home)Stoke City (away)
W 2
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
2.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Bolton

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Stoke City Home 1–2 L
20/09 Norwich Away 4–3 W
12/09 Cardiff Home 1–0 W
08/09 West Ham Home 2–3 L
05/09 Millwall Away 0–4 L

Stoke City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Bolton Away 2–1 W
19/09 Sheffield Utd Home 2–1 W
12/09 Watford Away 2–1 W
08/09 Cardiff Away 1–1 D
05/09 Charlton Home 4–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Bolton #17 · 10 pts —  Stoke City #4 · 16 pts

Bolton

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–5L
W 3
D 1
L 5
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards13
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.12
xG against (avg)1.73
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Stoke City

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–3L
W 5
D 1
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.05
xG against (avg)1.02
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
BoltonStoke City
W 3
D 1
L 5
W 5
D 1
L 3
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.40
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
13
22
Red cards
1
2
xG for (avg)
1.12
1.05
xG against (avg)
1.73
1.02
Corners for (avg)
3.80
6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bolton

3
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
6
76-90
2
scored conceded

Stoke City

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Bolton

  • ❌ R. Rodrigues — Knee Injury
  • ❌ X. Simons — Red Card
  • ❌ L. Stephenson — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Brunt — Injury
  • ❌ C. Forino-Joseph — Groin Injury

Stoke City

  • ❌ A. Ampah — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ A. Cresswell — Injury
  • ❌ J. Tchamadeu — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Cisse — Knock
  • ❌ B. Lawal — Health problems
  • ❌ B. Gibson — Head Injury
  • ❌ S. Ingelsson — Injury
  • ❌ S. Gallagher — Injury
  • ❌ M. Talovierov — Red Card

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws