Burnley vs Derby
Burnley
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 79% | 47.4% | @1.82 | — | 53.2% | -5.8 pp | ❌ |
| Double Chance | 1X | 79% | 82.4% | @1.21 | — | 78.1% | +4.3 pp | ✅ |
| BTTS | No | 88% | 62.5% | @2.04 | — | 45.5% | +17 pp | ❌ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 90% | 65.3% | @1.94 | — | 48.1% | +17.2 pp | ✅ |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | 85% | 19.8% | @7.50 | — | 5.7% | +14.1 pp | ❌ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Over 9.5 | 70% | 59.8% | @1.72 | — | 53.8% | +6 pp | ✅ |
⚽ Model expected goals: Burnley 0.79 – 0.41 Derby · expected total 1.20
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Burnley
Derby
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship
Burnley
Derby
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Burnley at home · Derby away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Burnley (home)
Derby (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
📈 Recent Form
Burnley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Watford | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Derby | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Swansea | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 08/09 | Wrexham | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Bristol City | Home | 1–2 | L |
Derby
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Wrexham | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Burnley | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Birmingham | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/09 | West Brom | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | West Ham | Away | 0–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Championship
Burnley #22 · 7 pts — Derby #23 · 6 pts
Burnley
Derby
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Burnley
Derby
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Burnley
- ❌ E. Agyei — Injury
- ❌ J. Banel — Injury
- ❌ A. Barnes — Injury
- ❌ J. Beyer — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Cullen — Knee Injury
- ❌ B. Humphreys — Inactive
- ❌ J. Laurent — Red Card
- ❌ Lucas Pires — Inactive
- ❌ H. Mejbri — Inactive
- ❌ D. Satpaev — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ L. Foster — Inactive
- ❌ J. Bruun Larsen — Injury
- ❌ M. Obafemi — Inactive
- ❌ A. Ramsey — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ S. Sambo — Inactive
- ❌ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye — Inactive
Derby
- ❌ P. Agyemang — Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Clarke — Calf Injury
- ❌ D. Murkin — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ S. Szmodics — Thigh Injury
- ❌ C. Morris — Inactive
- ❌ L. Travis — Injury
- ❌ C. Forsyth — Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Bilbija — Back Injury
- ❌ R. Brewster — Injury
- ❌ C. Taylor — Injury
- ❌ J. Widell Zetterstrom — Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Meister — Concussion
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws