Predictions → England Championship

Millwall vs Derby

Final result and the pre-match prediction on record. This page updates when the next fixture is scheduled.

Millwall
4:1
Full Time · 31 Oct 2026
Derby

No upcoming fixture scheduled. Showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions: pre-match vs actual

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EVResult
Match Result (1X2) Home Betano@1.7057.7% -1.9% ✅
Double Chance 1X Betano@1.1982.8% -1.5% ✅
BTTS No William Hill@2.0061.8% · Yes 38.2% +23.6% ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Pinnacle@2.0653.1% · Over 46.9% +9.4% ❌
Correct Score 1-0 Bet365@7.5016.3% +22.3% ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Pinnacle@1.5158.1% · Under 41.9% -12.3% ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Millwall 1.35 – 0.69 Derby · expected total 2.04

Latest available team statistics: these blocks are refreshed independently of the frozen pre-match prediction and may include this match. They are shown for context, not as inputs to that prediction.

📈 Team Trends

Millwall

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Derby

Winless 9
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship

Millwall

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Derby

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Millwall at home · Derby away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Millwall (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–2L
W 3
D 2
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Derby (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–4L
W 1
D 2
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Millwall (home)Derby (away)
W 3
D 2
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 4
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.10
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Derby 0 wins · 0 draws · Millwall 1 win · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Oct 2026 Millwall 4–1 Derby Championship

📈 Recent Form

Millwall

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Derby Home 4–1 W
24/10 Portsmouth Away 1–2 L
17/10 Lincoln Home 2–2 D
13/10 Swansea Home 0–1 L
10/10 Preston Away 1–0 W
19/09 West Ham Home 2–2 D
15/09 Middlesbrough Away 2–2 D
12/09 Blackburn Away 1–3 L
08/09 Newcastle Home 0–1 L
05/09 Bolton Home 4–0 W

Derby

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Millwall Away 1–4 L
24/10 Sheffield Utd Away 1–1 D
17/10 Stoke City Home 0–1 L
14/10 QPR Away 1–4 L
10/10 Wrexham Home 1–1 D
19/09 Burnley Away 1–1 D
12/09 Birmingham Home 1–2 L
09/09 West Brom Home 0–1 L
05/09 West Ham Away 0–3 L
01/09 Portsmouth Away 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Championship

Millwall #12 · 18 pts ·  Derby #23 · 7 pts

Millwall

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–5L
W 5
D 3
L 5
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards26
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.43
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Derby

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–8L
W 1
D 4
L 8
Played13
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards31
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.95
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.84
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
MillwallDerby
W 5
D 3
L 5
W 1
D 4
L 8
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.90
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
26
31
Red cards
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.54
0.95
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.43
1.84
Corners for (avg)
5.80
5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Millwall

1
0-15
5
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
1
6
76-90
7
scored conceded

Derby

4
0-15
1
5
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
7
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Millwall

  • ❌ T. Crama: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ A. Doughty: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ M. Ivanovic: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ D. Mazou-Sacko: Calf Injury
  • ❌ M. Servais: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ F. Azeez: Abdominal strain
  • ❌ M. Luongo: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Leonard: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Coburn: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ C. De Norre: Injury
  • ❌ R. Esse: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ T. Arconte: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ F. Marschall: Injury
  • ❌ J. Metcalfe: Suspended (Yellow Cards)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Cundle, L. Jensen, K. Lisbie; not counted as confirmed absences.

Derby

  • ❌ P. Agyemang: Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Clarke: Calf Injury
  • ❌ D. Murkin: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ S. Szmodics: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ L. Travis: Injury
  • ❌ C. Forsyth: Knee Injury
  • ❌ F. Bilbija: Back Injury
  • ❌ R. Brewster: Injury
  • ❌ H. Meister: Concussion
  • ❌ J. Widell Zetterstrom: Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Taylor: Injury
  • ❌ S. Langas: Injury
  • ❌ D. Sanderson: Suspended (Red Card)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): C. Morris, E. Cashin, M. Johnston; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws