Predictions → England Championship

Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
0:2
Full Time · 01 Sep 2026
Derby

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 42.4% @2.02 — 49.4% -7 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 71% 71.7% @1.25 — 76.1% -4.4 pp ❌
BTTS No 87% 60.3% @1.92 — 48.2% +12.1 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 90% 66.5% @1.85 — 52.4% +14.1 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-0 77% 15.6% @7.00 — 6% +9.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 82% 66.3% @1.60 — 59.2% +7.1 pp ✅

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Portsmouth

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Derby

Winless 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Portsmouth at home · Derby away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Portsmouth (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Derby (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Portsmouth (home)Derby (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.50
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Portsmouth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Blackburn Home 2–2 D
12/09 Charlton Away 0–0 D
05/09 Cardiff Home 2–0 W
01/09 Derby Home 0–2 L
29/08 Bristol City Away 1–2 L

Derby

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Wrexham Home 1–1 D
19/09 Burnley Away 1–1 D
12/09 Birmingham Home 1–2 L
09/09 West Brom Home 0–1 L
05/09 West Ham Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Portsmouth #19 · 8 pts —  Derby #23 · 6 pts

Portsmouth

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.26
xG against (avg)0.79
Corners for (avg)7.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Derby

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–5L
W 1
D 3
L 5
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.59
xG against (avg)1.51
Corners for (avg)7.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
PortsmouthDerby
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 1
D 3
L 5
Played
8
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.70
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
5
21
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.26
0.59
xG against (avg)
0.79
1.51
Corners for (avg)
7.70
7.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Portsmouth

1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
5
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Derby

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Portsmouth

  • ❌ K. Anderson — Injury
  • ❌ J. Bursik — Injury
  • ❌ J. Farrell — Groin Injury
  • ❌ M. Kosznovszky — Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Ogilvie — Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Pack — Knee Injury
  • ❌ F. Umeh — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ T. Waddingham — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ H. Blair — Illness
  • ❌ J. Murphy — Injury
  • ❌ L. Brooke-Smith — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Marezi — Calf Injury

Derby

  • ❌ P. Agyemang — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Clarke — Calf Injury
  • ❌ D. Murkin — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ S. Szmodics — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. Morris — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Travis — Injury
  • ❌ C. Forsyth — Knee Injury
  • ❌ F. Bilbija — Back Injury
  • ❌ R. Brewster — Injury
  • ❌ C. Taylor — Injury
  • ❌ J. Widell Zetterstrom — Knee Injury
  • ❌ H. Meister — Concussion

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