Derby vs Wrexham
Derby
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 76% | 35% | @2.44 | — | 40.6% | -5.6 pp | ❌ |
| Double Chance | X2 | 68% | 67.6% | @1.42 | — | 68.8% | -1.2 pp | ✅ |
| BTTS | No | 83% | 52.8% | @2.10 | — | 45.5% | +7.3 pp | ❌ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83% | 52.1% | @1.85 | — | 53% | -0.9 pp | ✅ |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | 69% | 10.8% | @8.50 | — | 5.9% | +4.9 pp | ❌ |
| Draw (value pick) | Draw | 66% | 27.8% | @3.40 | — | 28.2% | -0.4 pp | ✅ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Over 9.5 | 61% | 52.7% | @1.55 | — | 62.7% | -10 pp | ❌ |
⚽ Model expected goals: Derby 0.92 – 1.06 Wrexham · expected total 1.98
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Derby
Wrexham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Derby at home · Wrexham away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Derby (home)
Wrexham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
📈 Recent Form
Derby
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Wrexham | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Burnley | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Birmingham | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/09 | West Brom | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | West Ham | Away | 0–3 | L |
Wrexham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Derby | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Southampton | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | West Ham | Away | 0–6 | L |
| 08/09 | Burnley | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Swansea | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison — Championship
Derby #23 · 6 pts — Wrexham #15 · 11 pts
Derby
Wrexham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Derby
Wrexham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Derby
- ❌ P. Agyemang — Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Clarke — Calf Injury
- ❌ D. Murkin — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ S. Szmodics — Thigh Injury
- ❌ C. Morris — Inactive
- ❌ L. Travis — Injury
- ❌ C. Forsyth — Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Bilbija — Back Injury
- ❌ R. Brewster — Injury
- ❌ C. Taylor — Injury
- ❌ J. Widell Zetterstrom — Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Meister — Concussion
Wrexham
- ❌ L. Cacace — Calf Injury
- ❌ S. Revan — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ B. Sheaf — Inactive
- ❌ J. Windass — Calf Injury
- ❌ G. Thomason — Thigh Injury
- ❌ N. Broadhead — Inactive
- ❌ M. Cleworth — Muscle Injury
- ❌ O. Rathbone — Ankle Injury
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws